@Footy_Tipster gives his best bets and predictions ahead of a huge round of fixtures across the Premier League..

Premier League Predictions & Tips

Luton Town v Brentford - Saturday, 3pm

This feels like a massive game for both sides as Luton Town come head-to-head with Brentford at Kenilworth Road in the Premier League.

Luton enter this fixture just in the bottom three, they are one point from safety although their goal difference isn’t as good as those around them. The last time Luton played on home turf they beat Bournemouth 2-1 which felt like a really big win for the Hatters, I mentioned in this blog last week that they might have seen their away game at Man City as a free hit, these are the type of games that they’ll need to win if they are to extend their stay in the English top-flight. 

LUTON TOWN V BRENTFORD
Strength
40%
 
 
60%
Attacking Potential
42%
 
 
58%
Defensive Potential
35%
 
 
65%
Poisson Distribution
50%
 
 
50%
H2H
20%
 
 
80%
Goals
17%
 
 
83%
Wins the Game
34.0%
 
 
66.0%

Brentford had drawn three consecutive games before their win last time out against Sheffield United, the Bee’s gave themselves some breathing space above the drop as they extended the gap to seven points, you’d expect Thomas Frank’s side to be safe from here with just five games left to play.

Luton Town have scored at least once in fifteen of their sixteen homes games in the league (94%) whilst Brentford have hit the back of the net in twelve of their sixteen games on the road (75%). It’s worth noting that Luton have seen both teams score in 79% of their Premier League games and 67% of Brentford games have seen the same, I think we’re in for a real entertaining game at the Kenny with goals galore.

Sheffield United v Burnley - Saturday, 3pm

Burnley travel to South Yorkshire on Saturday afternoon as they take on Sheffield United in the Premier League at Bramall Lane.

It’s looking likely that these two sides will be playing Championship football next season but this fixture is huge for both sides. If Sheffield United have any hope of staying in the English top-flight, they’ve got to win here, it’s already a massive ask but defeat here would probably seal it for the Blades given they head into this game ten points from safety. 

SHEFFIELD UNITED V BURNLEY
Strength
33%
 
 
67%
Attacking Potential
57%
 
 
43%
Defensive Potential
33%
 
 
67%
Poisson Distribution
37%
 
 
63%
H2H
40%
 
 
60%
Goals
38%
 
 
63%
Wins the Game
39.7%
 
 
60.5%

Burnley must still be feeling frustrated after their draw against Brighton last time out, the Clarets had taken a 1-0 lead with just fifteen minutes to play before an absolute horror from goalkeeper Arijanet Muric, who let the ball roll under his foot and into his own net, a vital two points dropped which must have annoyed boss Vincent Kompany. They’ve got a chance to turn that frustration into something positive and put together a real performance here. 

These two sides met in December and Burnley dominated the fixture, winning the match 5-0 but fast forward four months and it’s a different story for these two, both of these sides have won just once in their last fifteen league games, whilst the home side have also conceded at least twice in their last six games, it’ll be a tough game for both and I’ll think we’ll see the points shared.

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Arsenal - Saturday, 7.30pm

Arsenal will look to get their title challenge back on track when they visit Wolverhampton Wanderers on Saturday night in the Premier League.

Wolves’ season is really fizzing out with just six games left to play, after spending large parts of the season dreaming and hoping about finishing in those European places, they’ve hit a poor run of form at a vital part of the campaign. They’ve lost their last five games across all competitions and don’t seem to have recovered from their shock FA exit against Coventry, their last win came at home against Fulham in March, now seven points off the top six, it looks like Gary O’Neil’s side will spend the remainder of the season playing for pride. 

WOLVES V ARSENAL
Strength
33%
 
 
67%
Attacking Potential
46%
 
 
54%
Defensive Potential
27%
 
 
73%
Poisson Distribution
20%
 
 
80%
H2H
0%
 
 
100%
Goals
14%
 
 
86%
Wins the Game
28.0%
 
 
72.0%

Arsenal had a game to forget last weekend, Aston Villa beat the Gunners 2-0 which meant the side from North London slipped into second and are now 2 points behind current champions Manchester City. We know that anything can happen in football and it’s not over yet for Mikel Arteta’s side but they’ll feel frustrated heading into this game, they do still hold the best away record in the Premier League and have won the last two at Molineux. 

Arsenal know if they drop points here then their title dreams will be over, Wolves will make it difficult for the Gunners having scored in 81% of their Premier League and all but one home games, I think we’ll see a close away win.

Everton v Nottingham Forest - Sunday, 1.30pm

A huge game at the bottom of the Premier League as Nottingham Forest travel to Merseyside to take on fellow strugglers Everton, as the both fight to stay in the division.

Everton were humbled on Monday evening, after their 1-0 victory over Burnley the Toffees travelled to Stamford Bridge where Chelsea hit them for six, giving Sean Dyche his biggest ever defeat. Defender James Tarkowski spoke after the game and said he’s never felt more embarrassed on a football pitch, it was a really poor night which has seen them throw away the goal difference advantage they held over their rivals at the bottom. Everton now have the chance to show some character and show their loyal fans they’re going to fight in order to avoid relegation. 

EVERTON V NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Strength
40%
 
 
60%
Attacking Potential
27%
 
 
73%
Defensive Potential
42%
 
 
58%
Poisson Distribution
59%
 
 
41%
H2H
71%
 
 
29%
Goals
57%
 
 
43%
Wins the Game
49.3%
 
 
50.7%

Nottingham Forest have been picking up single points in their last five games, in fact they’ve lost just once in that time, winning once and drawing three. It’s a run of results which has seen the Reds climb out of the bottom three, albeit they are still just one point above the drop. They also remain a point behind Sunday’s opponent’s, making this game a “must not lose” fixture.

Everton have seen just 40% of their home games produce both teams to score whilst Forest hold a better record in terms of goals, 63% of their games on the road have seen both teams find the net, including seven of their last eight away games in the league. This is a real difficult one to call but I’m going to edge towards the home side, Forest are yet to beat Everton in their recent Premier League era, whilst Everton secured a 1-0 victory in their last game in December. 

Aston Villa v AFC Bournemouth - Sunday, 3pm

Bournemouth will travel to the West Midlands on Saturday to take on Aston Villa in the Premier League. 

Aston Villa shocked the Premier League last weekend after a 2-0 victory away to title challengers Arsenal, not only did that result put a dent in the Gunners title hopes, it also put the Villans back up to fourth, three points ahead of Tottenham Hotspur as they look to secure their Champions League position for next season. Villa have been solid on home turf this season, they’ve won eleven of their sixteen games and lost just three, they’ve also scored an impressive forty goals within those games.

ASTON VILLA V BOURNEMOUTH
Strength
44%
 
 
56%
Attacking Potential
47%
 
 
53%
Defensive Potential
50%
 
 
50%
Poisson Distribution
66%
 
 
34%
H2H
29%
 
 
71%
Goals
47%
 
 
53%
Wins the Game
47.2%
 
 
52.8%

Being realistic, Bournemouth are now probably just playing for pride and trying to end the season within the top ten, as they look to beat their highest ever Premier League finish (9th). Winless in their last two although they might have felt they deserved all three points against Manchester United last weekend after being awarded a last-minute penalty, only for VAR to intervene and award a free-kick instead. 

Both of these teams have a brilliant goalscoring record, Villa have scored at least once in fifteen of their sixteen home games (94%), whilst Bournemouth have found the back of the net in fourteen of their fifteen games on the road (93%), the last games between these two ended in a 2-2 draw, I think Villa will nick this one but both teams will score.

Crystal Palace v West Ham United - Sunday, 3pm

South London and East London collide on Saturday as West Ham United make the trip to Selhurst Park to face Crystal Palace in the Premier League. 

Crystal Palace sent shockwaves around the footballing world on Sunday, when they managed to do something no other team has done all season, win a league game at Anfield. The Eagles beat Liverpool 1-0 which has given them some breathing space towards the bottom, they weren’t really in a relegation battle but with their recent form, they were definitely looking over their shoulder, you’d think one more win would near enough guarantee Palace’s place in the Premier League for next season, although they should already be safe from here.

CRYSTAL PALACE V WEST HAM
Strength
50%
 
 
50%
Attacking Potential
42%
 
 
58%
Defensive Potential
56%
 
 
44%
Poisson Distribution
48%
 
 
52%
H2H
62%
 
 
38%
Goals
52%
 
 
48%
Wins the Game
51.7%
 
 
48.3%

West Ham head into this fixture off the back of their game against Bayer Leverkusen, the Hammers are currently eighth in the Premier League and just two points off Newcastle United and Manchester United in sixth and seventh respectively. West Ham will just want to keep winning and see where they end up, there’s no denying that the Hammers have a tough end to the season with games against Liverpool, Chelsea and Manchester City still to come, so you feel it’s these types of games that they need to win. 

One thing we’re guaranteed the majority of the times that these two sides meet is goals, seventeen of their last twenty meetings have seen both teams on the scoresheet, with both teams finding the net in their last thirteen consecutive head-to-head games, I’ll be surprised if we don’t get the same outcome here.

Fulham v Liverpool - Sunday, 4.30pm

Liverpool make the long journey to West London on Sunday to face Fulham at Craven Cottage in the Premier League. 

Fulham will be looking to at least match their final position from last season (10th) in this campaign, currently twelfth and only two points off a midtable finish, it’s definitely achievable for Marco Silva’s side. One thing the home fans haven’t seen a lot of is draws, they’ve witnessed just one draw at Craven Cottage this season, along with nine wins for their side.

FULHAM V LIVERPOOL
Strength
47%
 
 
53%
Attacking Potential
53%
 
 
47%
Defensive Potential
46%
 
 
54%
Poisson Distribution
45%
 
 
55%
H2H
15%
 
 
85%
Goals
41%
 
 
59%
Wins the Game
41.2%
 
 
58.8%

Liverpool’s title challenge took a major dent last weekend after their first defeat at Anfield in the league, it’s a defeat which has now seen Jurgen Klopp’s side slip down to third in the Premier League, two points of their rivals Manchester City. It’s not going to plan for Jurgen Klopp, this wasn’t how his time as manager was supposed to end and you feel if they are to win the league this year, it’ll take a massive slip-up from current champions City, which we rarely see.

Liverpool will want to try and keep the pressure on those above them until the very end, Fulham lost their last game at home two weeks ago and will be looking to bounce back but I think Klopp’s side will put a real performance together here as they look to answer recent critics. 


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Sam (Footy_Tipster) is a sports betting tipster, specialising mainly in football although he has also been known to provide tips in Formula One. He has been running an online football tipping service for the past 10 years and continues to grow his community, with a social media following of over 30,000 sports fans. 

 

He is a keen Manchester United fan and a below average darts player, he doesn't know which is more frustrating.