Rafael Nadal is 19/20 to win the French Open after highlighting his dominance on clay by claiming his fifth Mutua Madrid Open title.
Nadal extended his record on the red surface to 15-0 this season with a 7-6 (10/8) 6-4 victory over Austria's Dominic Thiem in Sunday's final in La Caja Magica. It was Nadal’s 30th ATP World Tour Masters 1000 crown to equal the record held by world number two Novak Djokovic.
After beating Djokovic in the semi-finals, Nadal could have been forgiven for expecting a somewhat easier contest against Thiem, who was playing in his first Masters 1000 final.
However, the 23-year-old claimed the first break of serve for a 2-1 lead in the opening set before Nadal got back on terms in the sixth game and then won the tie-break.
Nadal then broke serve in the first game of the second set and eventually sealed victory after two hours and 18 minutes.
The left-hander has now dropped just two of the 32 sets he has played on clay this year and will undoubtedly be the clear favourite at Roland Garros.
Thiem said after the Madrid final: ““How he plays after his serve, it's unbelievable. He hits so many forehands. You're under pressure after his serve almost every time.”
Djokovic is second in the French Open betting at 7/2 but his confidence will not have been helped by a first defeat to Nadal in almost three years.
After a run of seven straight wins against to his rival, dating back to the 2014 French Open final, the Serbian could not extend that run as Nadal eased to a 6-2 6-4 victory in the semi-finals.
It has not been a good start to the season either for Andy Murray, who is third in the betting at 6/1.
A bout of shingles followed by an elbow problem have badly disrupted Murray's season so far and his results have suffered, including a straight-sets defeat to Borna Coric in Madrid.
Murray's form is in stark contrast to at this point last year when, then the perennial number two in the rankings behind Djokovic, he embarked on a phenomenal seven-month run to propel himself to the top of the rankings pile.
He could now have to repeat something like that eye-watering effort to stay there but it is clear he is still finding his way after his elbow injury.
Thiem is 15/1 to win the French Open after his run to the Madrid final, which was his best performance at a Masters 1000 tournament.