@Footy_Tipster gives his best bets and predictions ahead of a huge round of fixtures across Europe..

Find the best football predictions from 888Sport writers on the following matches:

  • Newcastle United v West Ham United - Saturday, 12.30pm
  • AFC Bournemouth v Everton - Saturday, 3pm
  • Nottingham Forest v Crystal Palace - Saturday, 3pm
  • Tottenham Hotspur v Luton Town - Saturday, 3pm
  • FC Metz v AS Monaco - Saturday, 4pm
  • Lazio v Juventus - Saturday, 5pm
  • Aston Villa v Wolverhampton Wanderers - Saturday, 5.30pm
  • Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund - Saturday, 5.30pm
  • Fiorentina v AC Milan - Saturday, 7.45pm
  • Brentford v Manchester United - Saturday, 8pm
  • Lyon v Reims - Saturday, 8pm
  • FC Barcelona v Las Palmas - Saturday, 8pm
  • Liverpool v Brighton and Hove Albion - Sunday, 2pm
  • Manchester City v Arsenal - Sunday, 4.30pm
  • Deportivo Alaves v Real Sociedad - Sunday, 5.30pm
  • Marseille v Paris Saint-Germain - Sunday, 7.45pm
  • Real Madrid v Athletic Bilbao - Sunday, 8pm

Football Predictions Saturday

Newcastle United v West Ham United

Newcastle United welcome West Ham United to St James’ Park on Saturday afternoon, as we enter the business end of the Premier League season. 

The Magpies are currently midtable as we enter game week 30, after managing to secure Champions League football last season, Newcastle have had a disappointing season this time around and any hope of Champions League football next season looks very unlikely, given they are currently sixteen points off the top four. 

European football isn’t completely out of the question for Newcastle though, they are well in the mix for any Europa League or Europa Conference league places, a win here would put them just one point behind West Ham United in seventh place, with the bonus of game in hand over the hammers.

After hitting a rough patch, West Ham look to be back on track and are still capable of getting themselves European football again for next season. As mentioned, the Hammers are currently seventh and they’re currently unbeaten in their last four league games, they’ve also had a win against Freiburg recently as well.

Newcastle are coming off the back of two away defeats to Chelsea and Manchester City but managed to secure three points in their last home game against Wolves, they’ve seen both teams score in 50% of their home Premier League games this season, whilst West Ham games on the road tend to see both teams score more frequently, with a 71% rate. I think we’ll see both teams score here as well, given eight of the last nine competitive games between the two have produced the BTTS.

AFC Bournemouth v Everton

Bournemouth welcome relegation battlers Everton to the south coast on Saturday in the Premier League. 

Bournemouth will be fairly happy with their season so far, before a ball was kicked in the Premier League this season, many people thought the Cherries would find themselves in a relegation battle at this stage, but they are currently thirteenth in the table on 35 points and after Nottingham Forest were deducted 4 points just before the international break, they’ve now got a 14-point cushion from the drop, they will take that.

On the other hand, Everton are well and truly in a relegation scrap having been deducted 6 points themselves earlier in the campaign. The toffees are currently sixteenth in the table, just 4 points from the drop.

Usually when you see teams struggling towards the bottom, you look at their back line as they tend to be conceding goals for fun, that’s not the case with this Everton side, they’ve got the fourth best defensive record in the league, they’ve conceded less than Aston Villa and Tottenham who sit fourth and fifth respectively. Their problems come at the other end of the pitch, they’ve only scored 29 goals in their 28 league games so far, only Sheffield United have scored less. 

This fixture tends to see the home side take the victory, with eight of the last ten fixtures going in the home sides favour on the day, I think we’ll see the same here.

Nottingham Forest v Crystal Palace

Nottingham Forest fans will be out in force once again at the City Ground when they welcome Crystal Palace on Saturday, as the Reds enter the business end of the season in the bottom three, following their 4-point deduction.

Forest are just one point from safety, they enter this game winless in their last five games across all competitions, four of which have ended in defeat. Despite filing an appeal regarding their points deduction, the Reds need to put together some wins if they have any hope of survival, a win here could give them that extra bit of confidence and momentum they need.

Crystal Palace enter game week 30 in fourteenth on 29 points, they have to be careful themselves given they are only 8 points from safety, granted it’s quite a big margin at this stage but the last thing they’ll want is to become involved in a relegation battle. Life on the road hasn’t been great for the Eagles this season, they’ve lost five of their last six away games, two of their three wins away from home this season have come against those in the relegation zone, maybe something they can take confidence from when they head to the City Ground.

The last three games between these two sides in the Premier League have produced under three goals, including a goal-less draw in October, I don’t expect many goals here but a draw wouldn’t surprise me, 1-1.

Tottenham Hotspur v Luton Town

Tottenham head into this game at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium against Luton with a little bit of frustration and another point to prove. 

Spurs made a real statement away at fellow top four challengers Aston Villa, when they came away from Villa Park 4-0 winners, which gave them a real advantage in terms of gaining that fourth spot and securing Champions League football for next season. Unfortunately for them, they followed that result up with a poor performance away to London rivals Fulham just before the international break, not ideal for Ange Postecoglou’s side. 

Luton Town might have been hoping the punishment for Nottingham Forest would be more in terms of points deducted, that could still happen yet but they won’t be wanting to rely on that and they’ll want to get themselves out of this relegation battle with their own performances. They head to London in seventeenth place, just one point above Forest but they’ll feel like their performances deserve me. In their 29 games this season, they’ve score 42 goals but their defence has been the Hatters issue, they’ve only managed two clean sheets so far whilst conceding 60 goals.

Spurs have seen twelve of their fourteen (86%) Premier League home games this season produce both teams to score on the day, whilst Luton have seen the same outcome in eleven of their fourteen games on the road (79%), I think we’ll see another impressive attacking display from the Hatters but I expect Spurs to get the three points.

FC Metz v AS Monaco

Seventeenth in Ligue 1 but only 3 points from safety, FC Metz welcome third place AS Monaco to the Stade Saint-Symphorien on Saturday afternoon.

A win here for Metz could potentially see the Maroons climb out of the bottom three, depending on results elsewhere. However, it’s a tough ask, not just because they are up against Monaco but Metz have the worst home record in the league, having won just two of their twelve games so far, drawing three and losing the remaining seven. The home side have won two of their last three league games, including their last home game, so they could take a bit of confidence from that heading into this fixture.

AS Monaco won’t be challenging for the title this season, currently thirteen points behind PSG with only eight games remaining. However, the Red and Whites will be looking to secure second place in Ligue 1, they’re only 1 point behind Brest and a win here would take them above their top three rivals before they travel to Lorient on Sunday.

Monaco have the second best away record in Ligue 1 this season, they’ve lost just two on the road, whilst taking maximum points in seven of their thirteen games. They are also on a run of six away league games unbeaten since their 5-2 defeat to likely champions PSG in November, they’ve seen both teams score on the day in twelves of their last fifteen away games in all competitions, we could get the same here with the away side taking all three points.

Lazio v Juventus

The Stadio Olimpico will play host on Saturday evening as Lazio welcome Juventus to Rome.

Lazio parted ways with manager Maurizio Sarri earlier this month after a poor run of form and since his departure, the White and Sky Blues defeated struggling Frosinone 3-2 before the international break. There’s a new head coach for Lazio, Igor Tudor will take charge of his first game here, he’ll be hoping his side can get the Croatian off to a perfect start with a win, which could see them move that little closer to those top six European places for next season.

Juventus head to Rome in third place, their recent form has seen AC Milan overtake the Old Lady, they’ve won just once in their last eight Serie A games. You feel like Juventus are just stumbling towards that finish line, but with nine games to go, there’s still plenty of points up for grabs for those around them. Despite being eight points clear of AS Roma in fifth, a loss here could put heaps of pressure on Juventus, who still have to play Fiorentina, AC Milan, Roma and Bologna.

Both of these sides are short on confidence, we don’t know what to expect from Igor Tudor’s first game in charge but four of the last five games these two teams have played at the Stadio Olimpico, both teams have scored on the day. I think we’ll see the same here despite Juventus missing top scorer Dusan Vlahovic due to suspension.

Aston Villa v Wolverhampton Wanderers 

Aston Villa will welcome Wolverhampton Wanderers to Villa Park in a Midlands derby on Saturday evening. 

Villa have had a brilliant season so far, if somebody said at the start of the season they’d be challenging for a European spot, you probably would have agreed but I don’t think many people expected that European competition to be the Champions League, that’s where they find themselves with just nine games to play, impressive. 

Wolves have been another surprise package this season, before a ball had been kicked in August, The Wanderers were amongst the teams expected to be involved in a relegation battle, with many bookmakers pricing them at just 7/2 to head down to the Championship. Gary O’Neil must take credit for leading Wolves to within the top half of the table, he’s impressed many this season, including those at Manchester United, if this week’s rumours are to be believed. 

Every game from now until the end of the season will feel like a cup final for Villa, these really are must win games as teams below them try to keep the pressure on. The Villans are three points above Tottenham Hotspur and nine points above Manchester United, both of which have a game in hand. 

Wolves also need to keep winning if they want to be involved in a European competition next season, they are just 3 points behind West Ham who occupy seventh spot in the Premier League, a win here for the away side could see them overtake the Hammers.

Aston Villa have seen three or more goals in eleven of their fourteen home league games this season (79%), whilst Wolves have also seen this occur in ten of their fourteen away games in the league (71%) – Expecting the same here with Villa taking all three points. 

Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund

The Allianz Arena will host the 135th edition of Der Klassiker between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund on Saturday evening. 

In recent years, this fixture has played a massive part and would usually determine which team would go on to lift the Bundesliga title but it’s different this year, with Bayer Leverkusen sitting pretty at the top of the table, 10 points clear with only eight games left to play. 

It doesn’t look like Bayern Munich will make it twelve consecutive titles at this point, they will want to finish the season strongly though and secure second place, a win here would put them 13 points ahead of their opponents Dortmund in fourth place.  

Borussia Dortmund have put together four wins on the bounce before the international break, including that 2-0 victory over PSV in the Champions League which set up a quarter-final clash with Atletico Madrid in April. They currently sit fourth in the Bundesliga on 50 points but only one point separates them from Red Bull Leipzig, a defeat here could drop Dortmund into that Europa League position, depending on Leipzig’s result against Mainz, the Prussians will be hoping for a result here to keep that Champions League spot.

This is a fixture that usually guarantees goals, seventeen of the last twenty games between the two sides have produced at least four goals, it’s a crazy stat that you’d expect to continue here.

Fiorentina v AC Milan

Fiorentina and AC Milan will lock horns in Florence on Saturday evening at the Stadio Artemio Franchi.

The Viola are currently eighth in Serie A on 43 points, four points behind those important European places, which Atalanta currently occupy in sixth. Fiorentina could have an alternative path to next seasons European competitions though, given they are still in the Europa Conference league where they’ll meet Viktoria Plzen in the quarter-finals. However, they won’t want to rely on that and a win here would keep the pressure on those teams above them.

FIORENTINA V AC MILAN
Strength
38%
 
 
63%
Attacking Potential
38%
 
 
62%
Defensive Potential
50%
 
 
50%
Poisson Distribution
52%
 
 
48%
H2H
40%
 
 
60%
Goals
47%
 
 
53%
Wins the Game
44.2%
 
 
56.0%

AC Milan look to have hit form at the right time, they managed to produce five consecutive wins before the international break, three of which came in Serie A and two of them were on the road, moving them above Juventus and into second place, although they still trail their arch rivals Inter by 14 points. Milan are one of two teams to have scored at least once in all of their away games this season, they’ve also scored 2 or more goals in their nine of their last ten Serie A away games.

Five of the last six meetings between these two sides in Florence have seen both teams score on the day, I think we can expect to see the same here again in a close encounter, with AC Milan’s recent performances, an away win wouldn’t come as a big surprise.

Brentford v Manchester United

The Premier League have scheduled this fixture between Brentford and Manchester United at the later time of 8pm on Saturday evening. 

Brentford head into this fixture winless in six, a defeat away to relegation contenders Burnley wasn’t great for Thomas Frank’s men right before the international break. The defeat at Turf Moor kept the Bees in fifteenth place, they are now just five points off the drop and they might find themselves constantly looking over their shoulder until the end of the season, unless they can put together some much needed wins. 

Manchester United went into the international break knowing they will face Coventry City in the FA Cup semi-final at Wembley, after coming from behind twice at Old Trafford to beat Liverpool 4-3 in extra time, in what could only be described as an FA Cup classic, a game we’ll be talking about for years to come.

The FA Cup is the only trophy up for grabs for the Red Devils but a win here could put them back into contention for those important European placers. Manchester United will know it’s looking likely that the Premier League will get five Champions League spaces for next season, at the moment they are nine points off Aston Villa in fourth, although Villa have played a game more and just 6 points behind Spurs in fifth, they’ve still got a chance.

Manchester United have won four of the last five games against Brentford, I think United will get the job done in London but it won’t be easy and I expect the Bees to get themselves a goal.

Lyon v Reims

Lyon host Reims in Ligue 1 on Saturday evening, a midtable clash which could have big implications in the race for European football.

It wasn’t too long ago that Lyon were fighting for survival and it looked like Les Gones would be in for a long battle to avoid the drop. However, it’s been a remarkable turnaround, they’ve picked up nine wins from their last twelve games, which has seen the seven times Ligue 1 champions move up to tenth position. Not only are they currently mid table and nine points above the drop zone, they also have a slim chance of making those European places, given they are now eight points off Lens in sixth.

Reims are the visitors, they are currently one place above Lyon in ninth and four points clear of their opponents, they also have ambitions of finishing within the top six in Ligue 1, so a win here could be vital. They have a chance to extend their four-point lead but it’s a tough ask, as they’ve only won twice away to Lyon in nine attempts.  

Reims have seen nine of their thirteen away games produce at least 3 goals, I think we can expect quite a close battle here between the two. Lyon will be full of confidence given their recent form and with the home advantage, I think they’ll just edge it on the night.

FC Barcelona v Las Palmas

FC Barcelona will welcome Las Palmas from Gran Canaria on Saturday evening in La Liga.

Barcelona currently sit second in La Liga, eight point behind league leaders Real Madrid. The home side entered the international break with an impressive 3-0 victory away at Atletico Madrid, a result which extended their gap to nine points and moved Barcelona above Girona. 

Barca are unbeaten in their last ten games since that 5-3 shock defeat at home to Villarreal, they are keeping the pressure on Real Madrid but with only nine games left to play, it would take a massive drop in form from Los Blancos but you never know in football, Barcelona will want to make sure they are up there just in case.

BARCELONA TO DOMINATE
Strength
87%
 
 
13%
Attacking Potential
71%
 
 
29%
Defensive Potential
92%
 
 
8%
Poisson Distribution
68%
 
 
32%
H2H
93%
 
 
7%
Goals
83%
 
 
17%
Wins the Game
82.3%
 
 
17.7%

Las Palmas will be pleased with how their season has played out so far, currently occupying eleventh place in La Liga, they are fifteen points clear of the drop and can start planning for next season. It’s their first time in the top tier of Spanish football since 2017/2018 season, safety would have been their number one priority this year and that’s what they have achieved. 

This will be a step too far for Las Palmas though and they’ll see this game as a bit of a free hit, they’ve got more important games to come against teams that are around them in midtable, Barcelona will want to keep this run going under Xavi Hernandez and just see how many points they can obtain between now and May.

Football Predictions Sunday

Liverpool v Brighton and Hove Albion

Liverpool will have the chance to put themselves at the top of the Premier League for at least a couple of hours on Sunday, as they welcome Brighton to Anfield in the early kick off. 

The Reds will be hoping to pile the pressure on Manchester City and Arsenal who meet later on Sunday afternoon, the home side had put together an unbeaten run in their last nine games before that thrilling FA Cup game at Old Trafford. 

After fourteen league games at Anfield, Liverpool still hold the best home record in the Premier League, the Reds are unbeaten on Merseyside, having won eleven and drawn three, a win here would see Jurgen Klopp claim his 300th competitive victory as the Liverpool manager. 

Brighton currently occupy eighth place in the Premier League and head to Liverpool hoping to keep their European dreams for next season alive, the Seagulls are unbeaten in their last two games including their Europa League second leg fixture against AS Roma, although a 1-0 victory wasn’t enough to advance into the next round.

Liverpool have conceded at least once in nine of their fourteen home games (64%), whilst Brighton have scored in ten of their fourteen games on the road in the league, Liverpool haven’t beaten the Seagulls in their last four attempts and they’ve drawn their last two at Anfield with 3-3 and 2-2 scorelines. I think Liverpool will get the job done here though, I think their attacking quality will be too much.

Manchester City v Arsenal 

There’s no doubt that the game of the weekend in the Premier League comes from the Etihad Stadium in Manchester, where third place Manchester City welcome table toppers Arsenal in a mouth-watering fixture.

Manchester City will be hoping they can achieve back-to-back trebles come May, they’ll have to fight off Liverpool and Sunday’s opponents Arsenal in the Premier League if they are to do so. We’ve got a three-horse race for the title this season, this game is the last time that any of the three will face each other in the league, a win here for either side could be vital. 

Man City are unbeaten in their last twenty-two games since their 1-0 defeat at Villa Park, they tend to time their run of form to perfection and it looks like they might have done it again. The Citizens will also take great confidence from the fact they haven’t lost in East Manchester in their last 38 competitive games. 

Arsenal top the Premier League after their twenty-eight games thanks to their +46 goal difference, they hold the joint best away record in the league with Man City, although the Gunners just top it on goal difference again. You’d think Arsenal would be happy with a draw here, just one point separates the top three teams but I’m sure Mikel Arteta will want to get one over Pep Guardiola and extend that gap to City to four points.

Arsenal haven’t won at the Etihad since 2015, City have won the last eight against the Gunners in Manchester, it’s a tough game to call but I think Man City’s incredible home record will play a big part here, I think they’ll just edge it over the 90 minutes.

Deportivo Alaves v Real Sociedad

Estadio Mendizorrotza will host this La Liga clash on Sunday evening between Alaves and Real Sociedad. 

With just one win in their last seven games, Alaves have slipped down to thirteenth place in La Liga, they will take a little bit of comfort in the fact they are ten points clear of Cadiz in the relegation zone with only eight games left to play. However, they do seem to be stumbling towards the finish line which is a dangerous game, it only takes a couple of teams below them to put a run together and they could find themselves in a relegation battle.

LA REAL MORE OF A THREAT
Strength
36%
 
 
64%
Attacking Potential
17%
 
 
83%
Defensive Potential
69%
 
 
31%
Poisson Distribution
36%
 
 
64%
H2H
15%
 
 
85%
Goals
31%
 
 
69%
Wins the Game
34.0%
 
 
66.0%

Real Sociedad head to Vitoria-Gasteiz in a Europa Conference League position, the Europa League spot might be a little too much to ask for La Real as they are nine points behind Atletico Madrid who are currently fifth. They’ll be grateful that Real Betis have lost their last three games, giving them a four-point gap to them in seventh, a bit of breathing room as five teams all look to finish the season in that sixth position. 

Real Sociedad have won two of the last four competitive games against Alaves but we’re held by Babazorros in the reverse fixture with a 1-1 draw. I don’t expect to see many goals here, Alaves home games have only produced three of more goals in three of their fourteen fixtures, whilst the last four head to head games with La Real have seen no more than two goals.

Marseille v Paris Saint-Germain

Many will say this is the biggest fixture in the French domestic season, Stade Velodrome will host the 106th Le Classique between Marseille and their bitter rivals, PSG.

It’s a game that I always keep an eye out for, usually full of goals, cards and plenty of drama when these two sides meet. Marseille headed into the international break with two defeats, a 3-1 defeat to Villarreal which didn’t cost them in the end as they progressed into the next round of the Europa League, then they followed that up with a 2-0 defeat away to Rennes in Ligue 1. That defeat keeps them just outside the top six but still only three points behind Lens. 

PSG remain unbeaten across all competitions in their last twenty-four games, the last time they tasted defeat came in Milan, when AC Milan secured a 2-1 victory in the Champions League. The Parisians have still only lost once in Ligue 1 and remain unbeaten on the road, they’ve won nine and drawn four, but they come up against Marseille who hold the best home record in the league, they’re also unbeaten at Stade Velodrome, winning eight and drawing five.

It's a tough game to call the winner but I think we can expect goals on Sunday evening, four of the last five times these two sides have met have produced at least three goals, PSG games produce a league high of 3.3 goals per game in Ligue 1.

Real Madrid v Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao are the visitors to the Estadio Santiago Bernabeu as league leaders Real Madrid look to extend their lead.

Real Madrid continued their brilliant form in La Liga this season before the international break, with a 4-2 away win at Osasuna, a result which kept Los Blancos’ lead at the top of the table to eight points from old rivals Barcelona. Real Madrid will welcome back Jude Bellingham after he returns from his suspension following comments made towards the referee after their 2-2 draw at Valencia, although it’s not all good news for Madrid, the home side will be without another key player for this game, Vinicius Junior is suspended for this game after picking up a yellow card last time out.

Athletic Club jumped above Atletico Madrid into the Champions League spot before the international break, thanks to back-to-back wins against Las Palmas and Alaves, whilst Atletico faced back-to-back defeats. Athletic will be looking to extend their one-point lead from fifth position, they’ve lost just once in their last eleven games across all competitions, but they haven’t beaten Los Blancos in Madrid since 2005, although they did manage to get a draw here last season.

This won’t be easy for Madrid by any stretch of the imagination, especially given they’ll be without Vini Jnr but their home record against Athletic Club just nudges me towards a Real Madrid win here, I think we’ll see goals but the home side to nick it.


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Sam (Footy_Tipster) is a sports betting tipster, specialising mainly in football although he has also been known to provide tips in Formula One. He has been running an online football tipping service for the past 10 years and continues to grow his community, with a social media following of over 30,000 sports fans. 

 

He is a keen Manchester United fan and a below average darts player, he doesn't know which is more frustrating.