@Footy_Tipster gives his best bets and predictions ahead of a huge round of fixtures across the Premier League..

Premier League Predictions & Tips

Newcastle United v Tottenham Hotspur - Saturday, 12.30pm

The early game in the Premier League Gameweek 33 see’s Tottenham make the 282-mile trip up north to St James’ Park to face Newcastle United. 

Despite putting together a three-game unbeaten run, winning two of those games, it looks like Newcastle United will still need a minor miracle if they are to get Champions League football but they’ll definitely fancy their chances of securing some sort of European football for the Toon Army next season. A win here for the Magpies would see them jump up two places and overtake Manchester United into sixth, it’s so congested around this area of the table, all wins are now vital for the sides chasing those European spots. 

NEWCASTLE V TOTTENHAM
Strength
50%
 
 
50%
Attacking Potential
52%
 
 
48%
Defensive Potential
46%
 
 
54%
Poisson Distribution
56%
 
 
44%
H2H
40%
 
 
60%
Goals
46%
 
 
54%
Wins the Game
48.3%
 
 
51.7%

Ange Postecoglou stated he “couldn’t care less” about the top four race after their victory over Nottingham Forest, I’m not sure that’s entirely true but his side now find themselves above Aston Villa on goal difference and with a game in hand, they’ve got the advantage with just seven games left to play, I’m sure he’ll care if his side don’t take all three points in this one. 

It looks like we’re in for another treat here, when these two sides meet we get goals, both teams have scored in the last eight head-to-heads and six of those eight have produced at least four goals. Spurs don’t mind a trip to Newcastle, they’ve won four of their last six visits but a 6-1 defeat in their last trip will be at the back of their minds. 

Manchester City v Luton Town - Saturday, 3pm

Current treble holders Manchester City welcome Premier League strugglers Luton Town to the Etihad Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

Manchester City remain on the tails of both Arsenal and Liverpool as they look to back it four consecutive Premier League title wins, something no other club has been able to achieve so far. After Liverpool’s 2-2 draw at Old Trafford last weekend, City are now just one point behind the top two, a win here would put the Cityzens top of the pile, at least until Sunday afternoon, but it’s a great opportunity to really pile on the pressure. Fresh off the back of their 3-3 draw against Real Madrid on Tuesday, they’ll be hoping to get this one won fairly easily.  

MANCHESTER CITY V LUTON TOWN
Strength
73%
 
 
27%
Attacking Potential
63%
 
 
37%
Defensive Potential
67%
 
 
33%
Poisson Distribution
81%
 
 
19%
H2H
100%
 
 
0%
Goals
73%
 
 
27%
Wins the Game
71.4%
 
 
28.6%

Carlton Morris showed exactly what it means to these Luton Town players on Saturday, after his 90th minute winner against Bournemouth, the striker looked very emotional when the final whistle went. That victory kept Luton within the bottom three but only on goal difference, whilst the news of more points being deducted from Everton will be another positive for the Hatters. 

This could be seen as a bit of a free hit for Luton Town with their most important games still to come, two home games against Brentford and Everton. The Hatters have shown some great attacking performances this season, with both teams scoring in 78% of their Premier League games. Man City should get the job done but having conceded six in their last three, including two against Crystal Palace last weekend, Luton might fancy themselves to grab a goal.

Nottingham Forest v Wolverhampton Wanderers - Saturday, 3pm

Wolverhampton Wanderers will make the trip to the City Ground on Saturday afternoon as they face Nottingham Forest in the Premier League.

Nottingham Forest find themselves outside of the relegation zone in the Premier League but only on goal difference after their 3-1 defeat to Tottenham on Sunday evening. The Reds were victorious in their last game at the City Ground, a 3-1 win over Fulham pumped some belief into the Forest fans, they’ll be hoping their side can produce a similar performance here.

NOTTINGHAM FOREST V WOLVES
Strength
56%
 
 
44%
Attacking Potential
60%
 
 
40%
Defensive Potential
56%
 
 
44%
Poisson Distribution
51%
 
 
49%
H2H
25%
 
 
75%
Goals
27%
 
 
73%
Wins the Game
45.8%
 
 
54.2%

With just one win in their last five Premier League games, Wolves’ European dreams have taken a big hit as they slipped into eleventh following their defeat at home to West Ham last weekend. Gary O’Neil was furious once again after VAR ruled out Max Kilman’s last minute equaliser, another controversial decision which has gone against his side. Wolves can still have those European dreams but they’ll need to start winning and look to pressure those around them, starting here. 

Forest have conceded in 88% of their home games in the Premier League (14/16) whilst the same stat also applies for Wolves away games this season, both teams have scored in their last three head-to-head games, I think we’ll see a 1-1 draw here. 

AFC Bournemouth v Manchester United - Saturday, 5.30pm

Manchester United will make the 500-mile round trip to the South Coast on Saturday evening as they take on AFC Bournemouth in the Premier League.  

Any dreams of European football for Bournemouth and their fans have possibly faded now after their 2-1 defeat to Luton Town last weekend. The Cherries would and should still be proud of their season and a top half finish will be the new ambition, something they’ve only managed to achieve once before in the Premier League. Despite their recent defeat, Bournemouth have won their last three at the Vitality Stadium, they’ll make it difficult for the red half of Manchester.

BOURENMOUTH V MAN UNITED
Strength
67%
 
 
33%
Attacking Potential
53%
 
 
47%
Defensive Potential
56%
 
 
44%
Poisson Distribution
44%
 
 
56%
H2H
40%
 
 
60%
Goals
40%
 
 
60%
Wins the Game
50.0%
 
 
50.0%

Manchester United showed their inconsistency again on Sunday against Liverpool, they didn’t manage a shot of any kind in the first 45 minutes at Old Trafford before getting themselves a 2-2 draw. Of course, all teams can point to injuries this season but Erik ten Hag’s side have suffered so many defensive injuries and it’s taking it’s toll now on the Red Devils as they enter the latter stages of their recent games. Manchester United have won four of their last five games away to Bournemouth, although the 3-0 defeat in December at Old Trafford will still be on their minds here.

If Manchester United can put together the performances they showed against Liverpool in their two recent games, you feel like they’ll win this game but nobody knows which United team are going to show up, the inconsistency is a big problem. Bournemouth will fancy their chances but I feel like they’ll just come up short here. 

Liverpool v Crystal Palace - Sunday, 2pm

Title challengers Liverpool will welcome Crystal Palace to Anfield on Sunday afternoon in the Premier League.  

Liverpool will still be shellshocked from their result on Thursday evening in the Europa League, one of the favourites to make the final in Dublin, it looked like it was written in the stars for that to be Jurgen Klopp’s final game in charge but they’ve got it all to do in Bergamo next week if that’s to be the case. The Reds were at the end of a 3-0 drubbing from Italian side Atalanta, that’s two poor performances from Klopp’s men in their last two outings, they’ll need to improve drastically if they want to win the Premier League title.  

LIVERPOOL V CRYSTAL PALACE
Strength
85%
 
 
15%
Attacking Potential
64%
 
 
36%
Defensive Potential
67%
 
 
33%
Poisson Distribution
84%
 
 
16%
H2H
85%
 
 
15%
Goals
73%
 
 
27%
Wins the Game
76.3%
 
 
23.7%

I stated a few weeks ago that Crystal Palace will need to be careful as they could find themselves getting into an unexpected relegation battle and it’s looking more and more likely every week. The Eagles have won just once in their last nine league games, that run of form sees them four places above the bottom three but only five points clear, they are definitely looking over their shoulder with just seven games left to play. 

I’m expecting Anfield to be full of nervous energy for this fixture after recent results, you feel that Liverpool cannot slip up again if they want to win this title given how close the top three are. I think the home side will get a victory but I can see Palace making it hard work for Klopp’s side.

Arsenal v Aston Villa - Sunday, 4.30pm

Arsenal and Aston Villa will face each other at the Emirates Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday afternoon.   

Table-toppers Arsenal will look to keep their place at the top of the Premier League with a victory over Aston Villa. The Gunners are currently on top via goal difference but they’ll be the last of the top three to play this weekend and they’ll want to make sure they handle the pressure. They’ll return to North London where they managed a draw against Bayern Munich on Tuesday night, they’ve lost just once at home in the league and have put together a seven-game unbeaten run at the Emirates across all competitions. 

ARSENAL V ASTON VILLA
Strength
72%
 
 
28%
Attacking Potential
65%
 
 
35%
Defensive Potential
92%
 
 
8%
Poisson Distribution
72%
 
 
28%
H2H
80%
 
 
20%
Goals
67%
 
 
33%
Wins the Game
74.7%
 
 
25.3%

Aston Villa beat Lille 2-1 in the Europa Conference League quarter-final first leg on Thursday evening, they’ll head to France next week with a slight advantage but must refocus for this game, as they look to get themselves back into the top four. Villa’s last away game in the Premier League was at one of those teams that Arsenal are fighting with at the top, Manchester City. The Villans we’re outclassed in that game and lost 4-1 in the end, they’ll be hoping for a better result this time out.

There seems to be goals on display when these two teams meet at the Emirates Stadium, there’s been at last three goals in the last thirteen games in North London, whilst Villa have also seen nine of their last eleven Premier League games produce over 2.5 goals, I think we’ll see the same here but a home victory to go with it.

Chelsea v Everton - Monday, 8pm

Chelsea will welcome Everton to West London in the Monday evening Premier League fixture. 

Inconsistency has really cost Chelsea this season, that’s demonstrated in their last five league games (D,W,D,W,D), after that sensational couple of minutes which secured them all three points at Stamford Bridge against Manchester United, Mauricio Pochettino’s side heading north to struggling Sheffield United where they could only manage a draw. They are an entertaining team to watch for the neutral, with each of their last seven games providing at least four goals.  

CHELSEA V EVERTON
Strength
69%
 
 
31%
Attacking Potential
76%
 
 
24%
Defensive Potential
42%
 
 
58%
Poisson Distribution
59%
 
 
41%
H2H
38%
 
 
62%
Goals
40%
 
 
60%
Wins the Game
54.0%
 
 
46.0%

Everton had another setback in their fight to stay in the Premier League, the Toffees suffered another 2-point deduction which has moved them back down to sixteenth despite their recent 1-0 victory over Burnley. The news doesn’t get any better for Sean Dyche’s men, the Blues haven’t won at Stamford Bridge since their 1-0 victory in 1994 and having not won on the road in their last nine games in all competitions, it doesn’t look great for Everton.

I think we might see another entertaining game at Stamford Bridge, with Everton’s poor record not just at Chelsea but on the road this season, I think they would take a draw here. Chelsea have conceded at least twice in their last seven games, although Everton have only scored twice in one of their last fourteen Premier League games, anything can happen with this Chelsea side, I’ll take the 2-2 scoreline.


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Sam (Footy_Tipster) is a sports betting tipster, specialising mainly in football although he has also been known to provide tips in Formula One. He has been running an online football tipping service for the past 10 years and continues to grow his community, with a social media following of over 30,000 sports fans. 

 

He is a keen Manchester United fan and a below average darts player, he doesn't know which is more frustrating.