@Footy_Tipster gives his best bets and predictions ahead of a huge round of fixtures across the Premier League..

Premier League Predictions & Tips

West Ham United v Liverpool - Saturday, 12.30pm

Liverpool will travel to East London on Saturday to take on West Ham United at the London Stadium.

Reports this week suggest that David Moyes won’t be in charge of the Hammers next season as they look to move on, they’re currently eight in the Premier League but European football for West Ham doesn’t look likely, currently five points behind Manchester United having played a game more than the Red Devils. They’ve won just once in their last eight games across all competitions, they’ll be wanting to finish in the top half of the table but better results and performances are required. 

WEST HAM V LIVERPOOL
Strength
36%
 
 
64%
Attacking Potential
50%
 
 
50%
Defensive Potential
35%
 
 
65%
Poisson Distribution
34%
 
 
66%
H2H
0%
 
 
100%
Goals
20%
 
 
80%
Wins the Game
35.0%
 
 
65.0%

Liverpool’s title hopes look like they are over, this was supposed to be a fairytale ending for Jurgen Klopp as he leaves the club at the end of the season, his side still had a chance of winning all four trophies but since his announcement, they’ve crashed out of the FA Cup, Europa League and after their derby defeat to Everton on Wednesday night, the Premier League now also looks like a big ask. One thing this Liverpool side won’t do though is give up, so they’ll be eager to put things right on Saturday against West Ham.

Liverpool have won the last five meetings against West Ham across all competitions, with both teams finding the net in their last three. I think we’ll see the same here, Liverpool have kept just one clean sheet in their last 12 games in all comps, concerning. 

Fulham v Crystal Palace - Saturday, 3pm

West London meets South London on Saturday afternoon as Fulham take on Crystal Palace in the Premier League. 

Fulham have hit a bit of a rough patch as we enter the final games of the season, they’ve won just once in their last five Premier League games which has included teams within the bottom four. There’s still hope for the Cottagers to finish midtable but that’s probably the best they could hope for this season, a win here could see Fulham move up to tenth if results go their way. 

FULHAM V CRYSTAL PALACE
Strength
31%
 
 
69%
Attacking Potential
41%
 
 
59%
Defensive Potential
41%
 
 
59%
Poisson Distribution
71%
 
 
29%
H2H
50%
 
 
50%
Goals
60%
 
 
40%
Wins the Game
49.0%
 
 
51.0%

Crystal Palace got their first back-to-back wins under Oliver Glasner at the weekend and they followed that up with another brilliant result against Newcastle United on Wednesday night. Those three wins have wiped out any doubts about the Eagles being in a relegation battle, they are now just three points behind Saturday’s opponents Fulham, they’ll be looking to keep their winning form going here.

Both teams have failed to score just once in their last twelve Premier League games, Jean-Philippe Mateta has scored five goals in his last four games, including two back-to-back “braces”, he’ll be looking to go one further here.

Manchester United v Burnley - Saturday, 3pm

Burnley make the short trip to Old Trafford to face Manchester United in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon.

After their recent eventful trip to Wembley, where Manchester United booked their place in the FA Cup final after beating Championship side Coventry City on penalties, they came up against a Sheffield United side who are on the brink of relegation on Wednesday night. A game which should have been straight forward for the Red Devils, turned out to be anything but when the Blades found themselves 2-1 up in the second half, United did turn it around to win 4-2 but it just shows the confidence is very low right now within this squad, a real worry for Man United’s faithful.

MANCHESTER UNITED V BURNLEY
Strength
50%
 
 
50%
Attacking Potential
60%
 
 
40%
Defensive Potential
35%
 
 
65%
Poisson Distribution
60%
 
 
40%
H2H
93%
 
 
7%
Goals
77%
 
 
23%
Wins the Game
62.5%
 
 
37.5%

Burnley gave themselves a fighting chance of survival last weekend with a 4-1 win away to Sheffield United, just three points from safety with four games left to play, it’s unlikely but things could have also been a lot different. The Clarets have lost just once in their last seven Premier League games, the frustration for their fans and Vincent Kompany is that four of those games have ended in a draw, a couple of victories within that period and the table would look a lot different.

Manchester United have won seven of their last ten games against Burnley, the last time the Clarets won at Old Trafford came in 2020 with a 2-0 victory. Again, this should be a game that Man United win at home but you never know what you’re going to get with Erik ten Hag’s side and Burnley will put up a real fight.

Newcastle United v Sheffield United - Saturday, 3pm

Sheffield United will travel to Newcastle on Saturday afternoon with the hope of avoiding relegation, for at least another week.

Newcastle were unbeaten in four previous games, winning three of them before their trip to South London on Wednesday evening where they were defeated by Crystal Palace. The loss has dropped the Toon Army down to seventh now behind Manchester United, as the two look to battle it out to secure European football for next season. The Magpies have been fairly solid at St James’ Park in the league and they’ll welcome the Blades with open arms on Saturday, given the reverse fixture ended in an 8-0 victory for Newcastle. 

NEWCASTLE V SHEFFIELD UTD
Strength
91%
 
 
9%
Attacking Potential
63%
 
 
38%
Defensive Potential
71%
 
 
29%
Poisson Distribution
83%
 
 
17%
H2H
80%
 
 
20%
Goals
93%
 
 
7%
Wins the Game
80.2%
 
 
20.0%

An immediate return to the Championship is looking likely for Sheffield United, a defeat here would actually seal their fate and even a draw might not be good enough to keep the Blades up. Things don’t look very good for Sheffield United though, they’ve only picked up six points on the road this season and have only managed one win, add into the mix the fact they haven’t won at St James’ Park in their last three visits, not even the most optimistic Blades fan can be looking forward to this one.

Sheffield United found themselves leading at Old Trafford twice on Wednesday night but ultimately ended the game with another defeat, I can only see a home win here and I think the question is by how many?

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Luton Town - Saturday, 3pm

Molineux is the venue for Wolverhampton Wanderers v Luton Town in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon.

After looking like they would be putting a challenge in for those European places, Wolves are really fizzing out this season, no win in their last six Premier League outings including their games against Bournemouth on Wednesday evening, manager Gary O’Neil described his side’s performance as their worst of the season, now ten points behind sixth place, a top half finish is the best Wolves can hope for this season. 

WOLVES V LUTON
Strength
40%
 
 
60%
Attacking Potential
44%
 
 
56%
Defensive Potential
65%
 
 
35%
Poisson Distribution
59%
 
 
41%
H2H
29%
 
 
71%
Goals
33%
 
 
67%
Wins the Game
45.0%
 
 
55.0%

Luton Town’s survival hopes took a real blow on at the weekend, a 5-1 defeat to Brentford at Kenilworth Road wasn’t ideal for Rob Edwards’ side but a victory here would move the Hatters out of the bottom three with Nottingham Forest playing Manchester City on Sunday. Luton haven’t won on the road in the Premier League since their victory in Sheffield back in December but with so much at stake here, we’ll see how much fight this Luton Town side have.

Luton are yet to keep a clean sheet away from home in league, so if they are to get a win here, it’s likely they’ll have to score at two. Wolves are playing for just pride which isn’t great at this point of the season and could be there for the taking. 

Everton v Brentford - Saturday, 5.30pm

Everton return to Goodison Park on Saturday evening as they take on Brentford in the Premier League.

Goodison Park was absolutely rocking on Wednesday night, Everton secured a massive win against their bitter rivals Liverpool. It was the first Merseyside derby win at home for the Toffees since 2010, not only has the victory all but confirmed Everton’s safety in the Premier League, it also hampered Liverpool’s title ambitions, which now look to be over. The Blues now sit eight points clear of the bottom three with just four games left to play.

EVERTON V BRENTFORD
Strength
53%
 
 
47%
Attacking Potential
35%
 
 
65%
Defensive Potential
42%
 
 
58%
Poisson Distribution
51%
 
 
49%
H2H
71%
 
 
29%
Goals
65%
 
 
35%
Wins the Game
52.8%
 
 
47.2%

Brentford have also put themselves in a great position after their back-to-back victories, the Bees are now ten points clear of the drop zone and a trip to Goodison on Saturday night doesn’t have so much riding on it, which is good news for the side from West London given they’ve lost seven of their last ten games in Merseyside.

There was so much tension at Goodison Park on Wednesday but once the final whistle had gone, you could just feel the relief from the Everton faithful, it should be different this time around given the pressure has been lifted, I think we’ll see another good performance from the Toffees and they’ll take all three points. The Bees have seen both teams hit the back of the net in seven of their last nine league away games, whilst losing five of those.

Aston Villa v Chelsea - Saturday, 8pm

Aston Villa welcome Chelsea to Villa Park in the evening kick off in the Premier League on Saturday evening. 

It’s been a brilliant week for Aston Villa and their fans, having secured their place in the Europa Conference League semi-final with a victory over Lille on penalties, Unai Emery has committed his future to the club after signing a contract until 2027. With the likes of Bayern Munich reportedly interested in the Spanish manager, Aston Villa will be delighted to keep their boss and the future certainly looks bright for the Villans. Villa have played two more games than top four rivals Tottenham but they are six points clear in fourth, we know that the Premier League won’t be receiving the extra Champions League spot for next season, so effectively Villa have got four games left to win to secure their place in the competition.  

ASTON VILLA V CHELSEA
Strength
56%
 
 
44%
Attacking Potential
44%
 
 
56%
Defensive Potential
60%
 
 
40%
Poisson Distribution
65%
 
 
35%
H2H
71%
 
 
29%
Goals
63%
 
 
38%
Wins the Game
59.8%
 
 
40.3%

Nothing sums up Chelsea’s inconsistency this season than the week they’ve just endured, after thumping Everton 6-0 in the league, putting up a real good performance in the FA Cup semi-final against Manchester City, they travelled to Arsenal on Tuesday night and got a thumping of their own, a 5-0 defeat to their London rivals has put more questions over manager Mauricio Pochettino and those Chelsea players.

Aston Villa must ensure they don’t lose focus on this game with their upcoming European semi-final next week, Villa have seen three or more goals in 77% of their home games in the league this season, whilst Chelsea have seen 75% of their games on the road produce the same, I expect goals here and another entertaining game.

Tottenham Hotspur v Arsenal - Sunday, 2pm

A North London derby like no other, not only are Tottenham hoping to keep their top four hopes alive, they’re also looking to put a big dent into their bitter rivals Arsenal’s title challenge, as the two meet on Sunday afternoon.

By the time this fixture comes round, Tottenham wouldn’t have played a game for over two weeks, Ange Postecoglou’s side should be well rested since their 4-0 defeat up at Newcastle, whether that two-week period without a high intensity game will help the players, I suppose we’ll only find out during this game. Spurs are fifth in the Premier League, six points behind Aston Villa in that precious Champions League spot, albeit with two games in hand, so they are still well in this top four race. Tottenham have a good home record in the league, they’ve won twelve of their sixteen games and are the only side in the league yet to draw a game at home.

TOTTENHAM V ARSENAL
Strength
37%
 
 
63%
Attacking Potential
33%
 
 
67%
Defensive Potential
17%
 
 
83%
Poisson Distribution
27%
 
 
73%
H2H
29%
 
 
71%
Goals
41%
 
 
59%
Wins the Game
30.7%
 
 
69.3%

Arsenal showed why they are fighting for the Premier League title with their performance against Chelsea on Tuesday night, the Gunners stuck five past the Blues without reply, a result which not only put them back on the top but it also extends their goal-difference advantage over the two challengers, it could be pivotal in terms of the title winners in May. The Gunners have the best away record in the league, they’ve won eleven of their seventeen games away from the Emirates, losing just three times. 

The North London derby is usually a really entertaining one and I think we’re in for a treat here with this one, given what’s on the line for both sides and the way the two teams play, I think we can expect plenty of goals and plenty of drama.

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City - Sunday, 4.30pm

Two teams fighting for two different prizes, Premier League safety and the title, as Nottingham Forest welcome current champions Manchester City to the City Ground on Sunday afternoon.

It’s been some week on and off the pitch for Nottingham Forest, having been denied three penalties in their relegation clash against Everton last weekend, the club took to social media to release a statement claiming the VAR official for the game was a Luton Town fan and they have asked for him to be removed prior to the game. I can understand the frustration but it’s not a good look for the club, their Premier League safety is in their hands though as they sit above the drop by a single point, they’ll be looking to use that frustration as motivation for this game.

NOTTINGHAM FOREST V MANCHESTER CITY
Strength
31%
 
 
69%
Attacking Potential
33%
 
 
67%
Defensive Potential
36%
 
 
64%
Poisson Distribution
31%
 
 
69%
H2H
13%
 
 
88%
Goals
10%
 
 
90%
Wins the Game
25.7%
 
 
74.5%

Manchester City put together another impressive display on Thursday night on the south coast, they thumped Brighton 4-0 and the Premier League title now seems like it’s staying in Manchester for another season. The Cityzens are currently second in the league, trailing Arsenal by a point but it’s definitely in their hands given they’ve got a game in hand over the Gunners.

Nottingham Forest actually got themselves a draw against Man City at the City Ground last season, the game finished 1-1 but City have already beaten the Tricky Trees 2-0 this season, as always, they start to find some real form at this stage of the season, I can’t see anything other than a win for Pep’s side.


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Sam (Footy_Tipster) is a sports betting tipster, specialising mainly in football although he has also been known to provide tips in Formula One. He has been running an online football tipping service for the past 10 years and continues to grow his community, with a social media following of over 30,000 sports fans. 

 

He is a keen Manchester United fan and a below average darts player, he doesn't know which is more frustrating.