La Liga Predictions | Mathematical Prediction | Free La Liga Tips

Real Madrid vs Real Betis (Friday, 8pm)

An imminent Champions League final is an obvious distraction for Los Blancos and we can expect some big names to be missing at the Bernabeu, wrapped figuratively in cotton wool.

Carlo Ancelotti applied the same thinking to Real’s trip to Cadiz on Sunday, resulting in a somewhat disjointed display as the periphery of his squad was utilised.

It’s not often the champions concede 21 shots to a league opponent and if anything, the relegation battlers rued only emerging with a point.

Which offers up a good deal of hope for Betis whose mandate is clear, needing a famous win in Madrid, then praying Sevilla slip up at home to Bilbao.

If these results go their way Manuel Pellegrini’s entertainers will have secured a Champions League spot for only the second time in their history.

Let’s roll the dice on the hosts having one eye on Paris next week. Betis are a generous 31/10 to win in the betting.

Barcelona vs Villarreal (Sunday, 9pm)

Depending on late recoveries, Barca have eight players unavailable for their season’s finale, players who have made a combined 187 starts in La Liga this term.

That would amount to a crisis if the Blaugrana had anything riding on this. As it is, firmly established in second, they do not.

Not that Xavi’s men won’t be desperate to sign off a remarkably rollercoaster campaign with a bang and in Memphis Depay’s absence they will once again turn to Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang’s goal-threat up front, the Gabon hit-man boasting 11 from his 16 league outings.

Villarreal, for their part, are minus their chief goal-source Gerard Moreno though that has been the case for half of their season and possessing the joint best chance conversion rate in La Liga illustrates just how well they have compensated for his loss.

No, goals are not a problem for the Yellow Submarine. What will worry them is a woeful record at Camp Nou, losing their last 10 encounters there on the bounce, conceding 3.3 goals-per-game along the way.

Barcelona and over 3.5 offers up a tempting 18/5 in the football betting.

Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao (Sunday, 9pm)

Sevilla need to draw or win to guarantee a Champions League spot. Bilbao need to win – and hope Villarreal lose at Camp Nou – for Los Leones to secure seventh and bring European football to San Mames next season.

If that puts the attacking emphasis on the visitors we encounter a problem, with Sevilla consistently miserly and conceding only 0.8 goals-per-game all season.

Bilbao meanwhile have hardly been prolific in 2021/22, their leading scorer Inaki Williams converting a slender eight.

From all the possibilities highlighted above it’s a draw working in Sevilla’s favour that really jumps out, Julen Lopetegui’s men being masters of the stalemate.

Los Nervionenses have shared the spoils 12 times in their last 20 league outings and have the know-how in frustrating opponents. Back the draw at 9/4 in the La Liga betting.

La Liga Outright Winner Prediction

Lionel Messi's decision to leave Barcelona for Paris Saint-Germain has blown the La Liga title race wide open. Any mathematical prediction follower can tell you that Messi's departure severely hinders Barca's title ambitions.

Real Madrid are now clear favourites to lift the La Liga trophy at the end of the campaign and Spanish football punters can back Los Blancos at 23/20 to clinch the title.

Despite Messi's departure, Barcelona are next up at 85/40 though it would be fair to suggest that many Camp Nou regulars aren't overly excited ahead of the upcoming La Liga season.

Defending champions ATLETICO MADRID are third favourites once again but Diego Simeone's men relish the underdog status and back-to-back La Liga triumphs could be on the cards.

La Liga Top Scorer Prediction

While the likes of Karim Benzema, Luis Suarez and new Barcelona signing Memphis Depay will attract plenty of attention in La Liga top scorer tips, GERARD MORENO is worth backing at a bigger price.

The Villarreal striker heads into 2021/22 after a solid performance for Spain at the Euros and a repeat of his 23-goal haul from last season might be enough to clinch the La Liga Golden Boot.

La Liga predictions

Mathematical Prediction

Starting on August 13th, 2021, and running right through to next May, the 91st La Liga season promises to be one of the most fascinating and unpredictable in living memory.

No longer can it be assumed that the title will ultimately end up at Camp Nou or the Bernabéu. No longer can we take it for granted that the runner up will be Barcelona or Real Madrid.

Last season, an engrossing four-way battle saw Atletico Madrid claim their first crown for seven years in a dramatic final-day shoot-out leaving the two Spanish behemoths to rue too many costly league defeats between them.

Have Barca or Los Blancos improved sufficiently over the summer to regain their dominance?

Played across 38 rounds of fixtures and with a one-off extended Christmas break the forthcoming season thankfully sees fans returning to stadia, though none are expected to be at full capacity just yet.

In addition, there are three new teams competing with RCD Espanyol, Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano having secured promotion from Segunda División.

The baulk of our interest however will surely reside at the top where some significant questions await to be answered. If you are looking for our mathematical prediction advice on La Liga, this is the place to look.

Are Barcelona a busted flush, overly reliant on an aging Lionel Messi? How will Real Madrid fare under the returning Carlo Ancelotti? Can Atletico go again?

Such uncertainty means that betting on La Liga will be a whole lot of fun throughout the campaign and to assist you there will be regular tips available from the best experts at 888sport located right here on this very page.

Watch La Liga In UK

The 2021/22 la Liga season kicks off with Valencia hosting Getafe on Friday August 13th and can be viewed in the UK via LaLigaTV.

This can be accessed as part of a Premier Sports bundle on Sky, Virgin TV and Premier Player.  There is also an add-on subscription available through Amazon Prime.

Typically, each round of fixtures will include several games broadcast live with the biggest matches tending to be reserved for the Saturday and Sunday evening slots. Monday night 7pm and 9pm double-bills are not uncommon.

La Liga Prediction Outright

The last time either Real Madrid or Barcelona were not crowned as champions for two years’ running was all the way back in 1984. It’s sensible therefore to put both firmly in the frame when determining the outright La Liga winner for 2021/22.

Yet uncertainty currently surrounds both of these global institutions with Real Madrid undergoing a period of real change while Barcelona too are in transition, to an extent against their will.

It’s no secret that the Catalonian club are blighted by serious financial difficulties off the field and this has necessitated a fire-sale to raise funds to renew Lionel Messi’s contract.

Such is the importance of their 34-year-old magician that securing his services for the short-term future was crucial to their title aspirations but at what cost?

Elsewhere, swap deals are being proposed to improve on a squad that last term posted Barcelona’s lowest league points haul since 2008.

La Liga tips

At Madrid meanwhile, incoming boss Carlo Ancelotti returns to replace the departed Zinedine Zidane having accrued the second best win ratio of any manager in the club’s history during his first stint in charge.

He has large shoes to fill and they are his own. Any mathematical prediction follower knows just how important Ancelotti could be to Real's title hopes.

The absence of Sergio Ramos after 16 years of outstanding protection will give Real’s defence an unfamiliar look, particularly if Raphael Varane also leaves.

Up front, there are the annual rumours of a big-money signing but, like their rivals, Real are hardly flush at present. Still, of the two it is Los Blancos in the best shape. It is with them where the best value can be found.

That is not to rule out Atletico, of course. Last season taught us not to do that, while Sevilla are fancied in some quarters as distant dark horses. Realistically though, the Andalusians will see another top four finish as a huge success.

Top La Liga Betting Teams

It may be surprising to learn that throughout La Liga’s long and illustrious history there have only been nine different winners but that reflects the longstanding duopoly of Real Madrid and Barcelona who have largely divided up the titles between them.

Of the two it is Los Blancos who boast the most overall with 34 and to put this in proper context that is more than a third of the championships ever competed for. Barcelona, by comparison have had to make do with a meagre 26.

In recent years it is the Catalan giants who have gained the upper hand with ten titles in the 21st century while Valencia and Atletico Madrid deserve great credit for topping the table twice apiece in the modern era.

Free La Liga Predictions

Though there are paid tipster services out there, 888sport is proud to offer up insightful and informed mathematical prediction tips on La Liga every weekend free of charge.

We are passionate about Spanish football and we’re the home of betting. Why go anywhere else?

How To Bet On La Liga

Betting on La Liga action with 888sport couldn’t be easier. Simply sign up, taking advantage of our fantastic welcoming offers, then head to our ‘Spain Primera Division Odds’ market where every match and outright outcome is covered.

For the opening weekend alone, we have a wide range of bets available for each of the ten fixtures and whether it is backing the match result or speculating that both teams will score our odds are hard to beat.

Our outright winner market presently has Real Madrid priced as slight favourites ahead of their eternal nemesis while there is terrific value in predicting that Atletico can retain their crown.

La Liga best bets

There is additionally an outright market for finishing inside the top four and here Real Betis and Athletic Bilbao stand out at very reasonable odds.

Once your bet of choice has been decided, click on the odds and a virtual betting slip will appear on your screen. Add your stake to complete the process.

Primera Division Betting Tips

Here at 888sport we don’t just offer up the best La Liga betting odds around. We also endeavour to provide helpful tips ahead of every round of fixtures in the form of weekly previews.

If you are looking for a mathematical prediction for today, our Spanish betting tipsters have the best La Liga bet help on the web.

In these informative articles, our experts will detail the most relevant stats for each game, including league form and tactical analysis, as well as highlighting any injury news that might have a bearing on a match’s outcome.

Other Predictions:

*Credit for all of the photos in this article belongs to AP Photo*


FIRST PUBLISHED: 14th July 2021

About the Author
Ste Tudor

Stephen Tudor is a freelance football writer and fantasy football enthusiast who only knows slightly less about the game than you do.

A contributor to FourFourTwo and Forbes, he is a Manchester City fan who was taken to Maine Road as a child because his grandad predicted they would one day be good.