NAP Of The Day | Warwick Tips | Kempton Tips

1.18 Warwick – Brave Seasca (NAP)

The progressive Brave Seasca can bring about further success for the Venetia Williams stable on Saturday afternoon.

Currently operating at a 22% strike-rate this season, Williams has a nice little chaser on her hands and can get off to a flyer in the very first TV race of the afternoon.

Brave Seasca hacked up by ten lengths here in December, with the second, Tokay Dokey, franking the form since.

With ground conditions in his favour, we make him out 888Sport NAP of the day and he can be backed at odds of 6/4 in our online betting market.

1.32 Kempton – Twenty Twenty (E/W)

Trading Gary Moore is operating at a 25% strike rate over the last fortnight and it would come as no surprise if his Twenty Twenty figures prominently in this 2m 4½f chase, especially on such a low weight.

The seven-year-old sprung a 40/1 surprise at Plumpton twelve months ago and he’s the type to go well fresh.

Last seen 255 days ago, Twenty Twenty is sure to be fully tuned by Moore and can go well for punters at an each-way price.

Of the others Fanzio is well overdue a win and the Hobson horses are performing very well of late.

1.50 Warwick – Threeunderthrufive (WIN)

Threeunderthrufive, Paul Nicholls' promising novice chaser, will prepare for the Cheltenham Festival with a run in Warwick’s Hampton Novices' Chase.

A winner of 8 races from his 11 runs thus far, the seven-year-old has taken to chasing well and has steely staying determination in the bucketloads.

The McNeill family-owned gelding’s most recent triumph was at Doncaster in a Grade 2 were he readily beat his two rivals by 7½ lengths.

Threeunderthrufive will either go for the Brown Advisory Novices' Chase or the longer National Hunt Chase at The Festival after this contest.

2.05 Kempton – Eldorado Allen (WIN)

It’s a small but select field this year for the Grade 2 Silviniaco Conti Chase will all four horses in with some sort of a chance.

The preference however just goes to the Colin Tizzard-trained Eldorado Allen who is enjoying somewhat of a renaissance in form this season and can run another big race here.

A fine win in the Haldon Gold Cup at Exeter put him right back in the limelight but the eight-year-old failed to follow up that up when finishing a well beaten third in the Peterborough Chase.

For us, that wasn’t his true running at Huntingdon and we’ll give the grey another chance today. Forecast backers may want to side Mister Fisher who looks sure to bounce back from his Boxing Day run.

2.25 Warwick – Party Business (WIN)

Party Business was in the process of running an almighty race in the Challow Novices' Hurdle last time out when coming to grief two flights from home.

Visually the Ian Williams-trained six-year-old looked like he was going to spring the upset and he has to be followed in again after a 17 day break.

The main danger on paper appears to be Surrey Quest who was an emphatic winner at Doncaster last time.

2.40 Kempton – Green Book & Foster'sisland (E/W)

A maximum field goes to post in the Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle and there is value galore among the twenty strong field.

The Venetia Williams-trained Green Book clocked up a brace of wins at Haydock and Ludlow and before that was a honourable second to A Different Kind.

McCain’s runner won yet again this week so that certainly boosts the credentials of Green Book in this feature.

Trading at odds of 13/2 in the horse racing betting, Green Book looks sure to be a popular pick with the each-way backers out there in punting land.

Those of you looking for an outsider that could go well at a price may want to give the onceover to Micky Hammond’s Foster’sisland.

Very much on an upward curve, Micky Hammond’s seven-year-old has gone from strength to strength this season and last his two wins at Ayr were both very gutsy. Emma Chaston-Smith gets on well with him and she claims a rather valuable 7lbs of his back.

Given Hammond’s current purple patch of form, 33/1 looks too big a price to ignore.

Course and distance winner Marie’s Rock has to come into calculations too but she will do well to emulate her facile Christmas victory.

3.00 Warwick – Corach Rambler & Achille (E/W)

Earlier in the week we had this Classic Chase down to a shortlist of four contenders – Corach Rambler, Achille, Commodore and Big River. Well that latter two aren’t running now so it’s full steam ahead with our first two choices.

Corach Rambler is a not too dissimilar a horse to Lucinda Russell’s One For Arthur and when he won at Aintree many of us marked him down as a future Grand National candidate. A win in this Warwick feature will certainly put him firmly on that radar.

The Venetia Williams-trained Achille was just one of five finishers in the Welsh Grand National and he will stay all day in this if he has fully recovered from his Chepstow exertions.

3.15 Kempton – Kitty’s Light (WIN)

With many of the runners in this line up quite exposed already this season, it may pay to side with the pretty consistent Kitty’s Light from the Christian Williams stable.

Second in the Charlie Hall Chase earlier in the season, the six-year-old looks like a solid proposition at 4/1 in the betting.

Course and distance winner Double Shuffle usually has a good race in him at least once a season and he shouldn’t be overlooked either.

3.35 Warwick – Alaphilippe (WIN) 

Pertemps qualifiers aren’t always the easiest of horse races to fathom but Fergal O’Brien’s Alaphilippe is probably the one to follow on this occasion.

Already a four-time winner from his six starts, O’Brien is sure to have his eight-year-old at peak fitness for his seasonal bow.


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*Credit for the main photo belongs to Alastair Grant / AP Photo*

 

FIRST PUBLISHED: 12th November 2020

About the Author
By
Steve Mullington

Steven is a sports and horseracing enthusiast and is a member of the Horseracing Writers and Photographers Association (HWPA) in the United Kingdom.

He is a regular visitor to Paris Longchamp for the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe and a lifelong fan of the Aintree Grand National, a subject he writes about 52 weeks of the year. Last year he reached the impressive milestone of attending the last 25 renewals of the Grand National.