Run over a distance of 1m1f the Cambridgeshire Handicap is staged at Newmarket on the Rowley Mile course.

First run in 1839 the contest is the first leg of what is known as the “Autumn Double”, with the Cesarewitch being the second leg run in October.

The autumn double is a very difficult bet to land with many punters tending to give it an each-way attempt. Just take a look at the last five year’s results:

  • 2015 Third Time Lucky (14/1) & Grumeti (50/1)

  • 2016 Spark Plug (12/1) & Sweet Selection (7/1)

  • 2017 Dolphin Vista (50/1) & Withold (5/1)

  • 2018 Wissahickon (11/1) & Low Sun (10/1)

  • 2019 Lord North (9/2f) & Stratum (25/1)

Cambridgeshire Handicap Trends:

  • There have only been two successful favourites while seven of the last ten winners came from the top six in the betting.

  • Only two winners (40/1 & 50/1) from the last ten renewals returned at bigger odds than 14/1. Seven winners have come home at odds of between 8/1 and 14/1 and one winner at 9/2.

A field of 29 runners go to post and here is your runner-by-runner guide (chance in italics):

Certain Lad

The Mick Channon-trained runner came home strongly at York last time to claim the Group Three Strensall Stakes. Prior to that he was second in the Rose Of Lancaster. Big player.

Sir Busker

Last seen finishing second to Century Dream in the Group Two Celebration Mile at Goodwood. Prior to that he was runner-up in York's Clipper Logistics Handicap. Leading light.

Montatham

Enjoying a tremendous season, finishing runner-up in the Royal Hunt Cup then winning at York and Sandown. Surely has to be on the premises.

Fifth Position

Third in the John Smith’s Cup at York then returned there to fill the same position in the Sky Bet Handicap. Strong contender.

Bell Rock

Has won two races from seven - both of them at Newmarket's Rowley Mile course. Each-way material.

Sinjaari

Powerful trainer and jockey combination and the recent John Smith’s Cup winner. There could be more to come.

Afaak

Winner of the Royal Hunt Cup on 2019 but has failed to trouble the judge since. Hard to see him winning.

Al Rufaa

Completed a hat-trick of handicap wins at Newmarket last month and had excuses at Haydock. Has the Frankie factor.

Power Of Darkness

Ran Beringer to a head in April 2019 and that horse was a close runner-up in this last year. Dark horse.

Bear Force One

Won on good to soft going at Newmarket this season but this is a much tougher assignment. Up against it.

Tempus

Has won four of his six starts, including both this season and has been the subject of a gamble all week. Shortlisted.

King Carney

Finished a close up third to Tempus at Newbury and now has a four pounds pull for half a length. Looks like value.

Derevo

Runs in the same colours as Tempus but probably holds a better chance. Knocking on the door.

Celtic Art

Was beaten out of sight in the March Stakes and will need a career best to figure here. Will win other races.

Majestic Dawn

Had an uninspiring return to action after a 313-day break on the all-weather. Look elsewhere.

Lucander

Beat a decent field of handicappers at York and will be right at home in this big field. Top 5 candidate.

Anythingtoday

Ran a stormer last time out in a big field at York. Impossible to say whether he will follow up or not. Risky proposition.

Dubai Mirage

Returned from a gelding operation in August to score nicely at Haydock but failed to follow that up at York. Interesting lurker in the online horse racing betting.

You’re Hired

Form with Scottish Summit looks good now after that one obliged on Thursday at Newmarket. Looks overpriced.

Walhaan

Caught the eye last time at Ascot behind Tempus and wasn’t beaten that far by Montatham at York. Worth a second look.

Good Birthday

Good Birthday came third in last year's Cambridgeshire but has shown no notable form this season. Dangerous to dismiss.

Mutafani

Formerly trained by Simon Crisford and was last seen running on the all-weather at Chelmsford. Big outsider.

Data Protection

Course and distance scorer but all of his successes have come in small fields. Hard to fancy.

Tulfarris

Swerved an alternative engagement at Haydock to run in this which is worth noting. This is much tougher test than those Ascot outings.

Kryptos

Has shown nothing this season to suggest a big handicap win is on the cards. Leap of faith required.

Ilaraab

Registered his fourth victory in succession when prevailing by a neck in the Dubai Duty Free Handicap last time. Top jockey and trainer will command respect.

Zhui Feng

Former Royal Hunt Cup winner but sadly lacks the consistency he had a few seasons back. May outrun his odds.

Balgair

Winner of the Amateur Jockeys' Cambridgeshire at Newmarket last Saturday afternoon. Unlikely to complete the double.

Wild Hero

Impressive form figures at first glance but none of them were achieved at this level. Needs others to underperform.

Newmarket Tips Today: Prediction

Several horses have been popular this week with online betting punters, especially Tempus, but a strong case can be made for Khalid Abdullah’s other runner – Derevo.

Ralph Beckett’s Lucander holds all the right credentials too and is another solid each-way contender.

888sport suggests: Derevo and Lucander (e/w)


*Credit for the main photo belongs to Vincent Yu / AP Photo*

 

FIRST PUBLISHED: 25th September 2020

About the Author
By
Steve Mullington

Steven is a sports and horseracing enthusiast and is a member of the Horseracing Writers and Photographers Association (HWPA) in the United Kingdom.

He is a regular visitor to Paris Longchamp for the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe and a lifelong fan of the Aintree Grand National, a subject he writes about 52 weeks of the year. Last year he reached the impressive milestone of attending the last 25 renewals of the Grand National.