Here in Blighty, the Melbourne Cup means either a late night or a very early morning alarm call in order to watch your favourite international raider.

On the other side of the world, it means the biggest party of the year and a bumper nine race card that has one of the world’s most famous races as its centrepiece.

Commonly referred to as “The Race That Stops A Nation”, the race is now a truly international affair, attracting participants from Japan, the UK, Ireland, and France, and with that comes an even wider global audience.

For international horse racing punters it also offers the chance to get involved with some top value in the online horse racing betting.

Melbourne Cup Statistics

Identifying the key trends and patterns can be all important in helping you single out a potential Melbourne Cup winner.

With so many variables in horse racing, it’s important to be looking in all the right places for the information, especially if you’re not over familiar with the Australian territory.

  • Trainer with most wins: Bart Cummings

  • Jockey with most wins: Bobby Lewis & Harry White (4 each)

  • Barrier with most wins: Barrier 5 (8 times)

  • Heaviest weight carried: 65.5kgs (Carbine 1980)

  • Horse age most wins: 4-year-old horses have won 45 cups; 5-year-old horses have won 44 cups.

Age Statistics (wins)

  • 3yo: (24) 4yo: (45) 5yo: (44) 6yo: (34) 7yo: (11) 8yo: (3)

  • Four and five-year-olds have the best record of any age group racking up 89 victories from the 161 renewals thus far, that’s 55.27% strike-rate!

The last three-year-old to win was Skipton (1941), and the last eight-year-old was Twilight Payment in 2020. Twilight Payment broke an 82 year wait for the eight-year-olds so it is still rather unwise to side with these two ages groups in the cup.

Draw Statistics

  • Barrier 5 (8 wins)

  • Barrier 10, 14 & 19 (7 wins)

  • Barrier 11 (6 wins)

  • Barrier 1,4,6,8 & 17 (5 wins)

The barriers (stalls) have been in use for 84 years and barrier 18 has never produced the winner.

If you suffer from Triskaidekaphobia, then you really don’t have to be as that barrier has been victorious on four different occasions: Phar Lap (1930), Baghdad Note (1970), Ethereal (2001) and Dunaden (2011).

Lucky Saddlecloth Numbers

No.4 (13 wins), No.12 (11 wins), No.1 (10 wins), No.6 (10 wins), No.8 (8 wins), No.5 (8 wins)

Since 1980 No.6 has won a total of seven times so it appears that number is pretty lucky.

Weight Statistics

53kgs: (9 wins), 54.5kgs (8 wins), 52.5kgs (8 wins), 56kgs (7 wins)

In the last 35 years only Makybe Diva (2005) has carried 58kgs or greater to victory so it would be prudent to avoid the top weights when making your selection.

Melbourne Cup 2022 Runner-by-Runner Guide

  1. Gold Trip - Having finished a narrow second in the Caulfield Cup two starts back, the former Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe fourth can be a big player.

  2. Duais – Out of form in her four runs this season but was seen running on to good effect in the Caulfield Cup.

  3. Knights Order – Winner of the Sydney Cup over this distance and loves wet ground. Ran third in the Caulfield Cup so holds a chance here.

  4. Montefilia - Her Caulfield Cup run was excellent but she is somewhat of an unknown over this distance.

  5. Numerian - Always thereabouts at Listed and Group level this season but the step up in trip leaves a lot of questions marks.

  6. Without A Fight – The mount of this year’s champion jockey in the UK – William Buick. Should handle the distance but barrier 18 is a concern. Popular pick for those betting on horse races online.

  7. Camorra - Previous Melbourne Cup winners Twilight Payment and Rekindling won the Curragh Cup – as did this horse this season.

  8. Deauville Legend – He was dominant in the Great Voltigeur Stakes and has only finished outside of the top two once in his seven-start career. Holds a leading chance.

  9. Stockman – The more rain the better for this runner but was well beaten in the Sydney Cup.

  10. Vow And Declare – Won this race in 2019 but has only placed on two occasions in his 14 starts since.

  11. Young Werther – Has won just the once in 13 starts but his form this campaign has been solid. Previously fared well in the Cox Plate.

  12. Hoo Ya Mal – His trainer Gai Waterhouse won the 2013 Cup with Fiorente and she can do so again with this top ranking UK horse.

  13. Serpertine – Winner of the Epsom Derby in 2020 and finished in the podium positions in the Archer Cup recently. 

  14. Daqiansweet Junior - He won the Adelaide Cup over this trip and went well in the Sydney Cup too.

  15. Grand Promenade – Finished sixth in this race last year but has struggled since and will not get his ground.

  16. Arapaho - 12 of his 14 career placings have come on rain-affected ground so he’s in there with an each-way shout.

  17. Emissary – Nice winner of the Geelong Cup on his last start, a race that has been a decent pointer to the Cup in the past. 

  18. Lunar Flare - Placed in the Moonee Valley Cup. Beaten a long way on her only attempt at this trip however.

  19. Smokin’ Romans - A three-time winner over 2500m and took the G1 Turnbull Stakes earlier in the season.

  20. Tralee Rose – Finished 9th in this race last season and could well be a lively outsider this year. 

  21. Point Nepean – Won the Andrew Ramsden Stakes here back in May and his owner has won the Cup seven times already.

  22. High Emocean – Even though she was successful in the Bendigo Cup, the form doesn’t look like its strong enough to take this.

  23. Interpretation - Has been disappointing for his new stable so far but could be a threat if finding his form again off such a low weight.

  24. Realm Of Flowers - She was a five length winner over 2800m here last year and clearly acts on the soft. Very dangerous to dismiss.

If jump racing is much more your preference then please be sure to check out all our Cheltenham betting odds here...

*Credit for all of the photos in this article belongs to AP Photo*


FIRST PUBLISHED: 27th October 2022

Steven is a sports and horse racing enthusiast and is a member of the Horseracing Writers and Photographers Association (HWPA) in the United Kingdom.

He is a regular visitor to Paris Longchamp for the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe and a lifelong fan of the Aintree Grand National, a subject he writes about 52 weeks of the year. Last year he reached the impressive milestone of attending the last 30 renewals of the Grand National.