@Footy_Tipster gives his best bets and predictions ahead of a huge round of fixtures across the Premier League..

Premier League Predictions & Tips

Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur - Thursday, 7.30pm

Another London derby here as Chelsea welcome Tottenham to Stamford Bridge on Thursday evening in the Premier League. 

Chelsea suffered more frustration on Saturday evening away at Aston Villa, having found themselves 2-0 down at the break, the Blues show came out fighting in the second half and managed to find two goals of their own but the real frustration for Mauricio Pochettino came in the 95th minute, Disasi thought he had completed the comeback but VAR ruled out the goal for an alleged shove in the build-up, Chelsea had to settle for a point with Pochettino saying that VAR has damaged the game, something that many people now agree with.

CHELSEA V TOTTENHAM
Strength
53%
 
 
47%
Attacking Potential
64%
 
 
36%
Defensive Potential
45%
 
 
55%
Poisson Distribution
51%
 
 
49%
H2H
71%
 
 
29%
Goals
64%
 
 
36%
Wins the Game
58.0%
 
 
42.0%

After two-weeks without a game for Tottenham Hotspur, they played hosts in the North London derby on Sunday with the hopes of not only keeping their top four fight alive but ending those title dreams of their bitter rivals. The hope for Spurs and their supporters didn’t last long, they went into the break 3-0 down, a late fight back did see them put some pressure on Arsenal with two goals but the Gunners held out and Spurs now sit seven points behind Aston Villa in fifth, albeit with two games in hand.

These are two sides that have produced plenty of goals in their recent games, this season, 63% of Chelsea’s home games have seen three of more goals, whilst the same can be said for 75% of Tottenham’s away games, I think we’re in for another classic between these two rivals. 

Luton Town v Everton - Friday 8pm

Everton travel to Kenilworth Road on Friday night to take on Luton Town in the Premier League.

Luton Town enter this fixture still within the bottom three in the Premier League, although only by one point. The team above them, Nottingham Forest, have only taken one point from their last four games but the Hatters haven’t been able to capitalise and they themselves have lost their last three games, they’ve now also gained pressure from Burnley below them, they seem to have come out of nowhere to put themselves just two points from safety, we’re in for a turbulent last three games down at the bottom. 

LUTON V EVERTON
Strength
20%
 
 
80%
Attacking Potential
45%
 
 
55%
Defensive Potential
29%
 
 
71%
Poisson Distribution
55%
 
 
45%
H2H
100%
 
 
0%
Goals
67%
 
 
33%
Wins the Game
43.2%
 
 
56.8%

Everton secured their Premier League safety on Saturday night with a 1-0 victory over Brentford, after being deducted eight points this season, there’s been real uncertainty regarding their future in the English top-flight, but that’s all been put to bed for another season at least, following their run of four victories in five games.

Despite being towards the bottom, Luton Town have been brilliant to watch this season as a neutral, they’ve produced some really high scoring games and they’ve seen both teams hit the back of the net in 82% of their games on home turf in the league. I think we’ll see the same again here but I’m going to edge towards Luton Town to drag themselves out of the bottom three.

Arsenal v AFC Bournemouth - Saturday, 12.30pm

AFC Bournemouth will take a trip to North London on Saturday afternoon to face current league leaders Arsenal in the Premier League.

Arsenal continued their title ambitions with a 3-2 victory over their bitter rivals Tottenham Hotspur on Sunday, many thought that game would hamper the Gunners title challenge but they’ve taken a massive step towards the title with just 3 games left to play. However, Man City are still in the driving seat after their victory on Sunday, the Cityzens are now just a point behind Arsenal with a game in hand and it looks like this title race is going all the way.

ARSENAL V BOURNEMOUTH
Strength
63%
 
 
37%
Attacking Potential
62%
 
 
38%
Defensive Potential
64%
 
 
36%
Poisson Distribussion
75%
 
 
25%
Strength H2H
93%
 
 
7%
Goals H2H
76%
 
 
24%
Wins the Game
72.2%
 
 
27.8%

Bournemouth bounced back from their slight dip in form with consecutive wins in the Premier League, the Cherries are now tenth with 48 points, a new club record in the English top-flight. They’ll now be looking to create more history for their club, one more win would give them their most wins in the Premier League, although that might have to wait until their next game.

Arsenal have beaten Bournemouth in eleven of their fourteen meetings in all competitions, including all six games played at the Emirates Stadium, I think the Gunners will keep this record up here. Arsenal have the best defensive record in the league but Bournemouth could nick a goal, given they’ve scored in all of their last ten Premier League games.

Brentford v Fulham - Saturday, 3pm

Two sides from west London meet as Brentford take on Fulham in this derby match in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon.

With two wins from their last three games, Brentford have now secured their place in the Premier League for another season and the Bees can now relax a little with three games left to play. However, they won’t be relaxing too much here given that bragging rights are up for grabs in this part of London. A win for Brentford would see them close to gap to their rivals to five points, although unlikely they’ll catch Fulham, they’ll be hoping to finish as close as possible to them for that little bit of pride given the season they’ve had.

BRENTFORD V FULHAM
Strength
67%
 
 
33%
Attacking Potential
67%
 
 
33%
Defensive Potential
62%
 
 
38%
Poisson Distribussion
56%
 
 
44%
Strength H2H
60%
 
 
40%
Goals H2H
62%
 
 
38%
Wins the Game
62.3%
 
 
37.7%

Fulham look like they are on the beach already, just one win in their last five games has put a halt in any hopes that the Cottagers had of finishing in the top half of the table, currently thirteenth in the Premier League and five points behind Bournemouth in tenth, anything other than a victory here would all but end those hopes for another season.

These two rivals have met in the Premier League three times so far, Brentford have won two of those games including their meeting earlier in the season, beating Fulham at Craven Cottage 3-0. Fulham haven’t beaten Brentford away from home since 2016 when both sides were in the Championship.

Burnley v Newcastle United - Saturday, 3pm

Burnley will welcome Newcastle United to Lancashire on Saturday afternoon when the two sides come head-to-head in the Premier League.

Burnley continue to fight for Premier League survival, they’ve been picking up points in recent games, they’ve managed to pick up at least one point in seven of their last eight league games, including that 1-1 draw away at Manchester United last weekend. The worry for Vincent Kompany’s side is have they left it too late? They are currently three points from safety with three games left to play, if they can get the three points here, they’ll fancy their chances. 

BURNLEY V NEWCASTLE
Strength
38%
 
 
63%
Attacking Potential
39%
 
 
61%
Defensive Potential
44%
 
 
56%
Poisson Distribussion
33%
 
 
67%
Strength H2H
7%
 
 
93%
Goals H2H
22%
 
 
78%
Wins the Game
30.5%
 
 
69.7%

Newcastle United continue to pile the pressure on Manchester United in that last European spot, just a point separates the two sides with the Toon Army holding a massive advantage in terms of goal difference (+19). A win here for Eddie Howe’s side would move them above the Red Devils until at least Monday night, the two rivals still have to play each other before the season is out.

Newcastle have beaten Burnley in all of their last five Premier League meetings, including the last two at Turf Moor, both of which produced the same scoreline (1-2). I think we could see a repeat of that scoreline here, Burnley will keep showing the fight but I feel Newcastle will get over the line.

Sheffield United v Nottingham Forest - Saturday, 3pm

Already relegated Sheffield United welcome relegation threatened Nottingham Forest to South Yorkshire on Saturday afternoon in another big game in the Premier League.

It was no surprise to see Sheffield United bow out of the Premier League last weekend after winning just three games out of thirty-five. They’ve got three games left to restore a bit of pride and give their fans something to cheer about, after a miserable season. A victory here over Nottingham Forest would do just that, given there is a bit of needle between these two sides after their play-off semi final clash back in 2022, we could see another feisty affair here.

SHEFFIELD UNITED V NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Strength
20%
 
 
80%
Attacking Potential
50%
 
 
50%
Defensive Potential
37%
 
 
63%
Poisson Distribussion
37%
 
 
63%
Strength H2H
38%
 
 
62%
Goals H2H
46%
 
 
54%
Wins the Game
38.0%
 
 
62.0%

Nottingham Forest have got three games left to survive in the Premier League, they are just one point above the drop and they’ve got to play two of the bottom three in their remaining games, survival is in their own hands a victory here could be pivotal. Forest have won just once in their last seven Premier League games on the road, although they’ll be confident of another one here given the Blades have lost eleven of their seventeen and conceded a massive fifty-one goals on home soil.

The last five meetings between these two sides have seen them both hit the back of the net, I think we’ll see the same here but if Forest want to survive in this league, they need to win and I think that’ll drive them to do just that.

Manchester City v Wolverhampton Wanderers - Saturday, 5.30pm

Wolves will make the trip to East Manchester on Saturday evening to face currently Premier League champions Manchester City at the Etihad Stadium.

Manchester City continued their pursuit of a record breaking fourth consecutive Premier League title on Sunday after a 2-0 win away at Nottingham Forest. The Tricky Tree’s did have their chances but City held firm and got over the line, putting them just one point behind Arsenal in the league but with a game in hand. They’ll welcome Wolves to the Etihad Stadium on Saturday night with the comfort of knowing they haven’t lost a game on home soil in the league this season, winning twelve of their seventeen home games.

MANCHESTER CITY V WOLVES
Strength
53%
 
 
47%
Attacking Potential
64%
 
 
36%
Defensive Potential
45%
 
 
55%
Poisson Distribussion
51%
 
 
49%
Strength H2H
71%
 
 
29%
Goals H2H
64%
 
 
36%
Wins the Game
58.0%
 
 
42.0%

Wolves ended a winless streak which stretched to seven games across all competitions, a 2-1 victory last time out against strugglers Luton Town moved Gary O’Neil’s side up to eleventh as they aim to finish the season on a high and hope to get into the top half of the Premier League. Wolves have had success over Manchester City already this season, they secured a 2-1 win over the Cityzens in the reverse fixture back in September.

Man City are so strong at home, I don’t this game throwing up too many issues for Pep Guardiola’s side, unbeaten in the league at home this season and have taken maximum points in four of their last five league games against Wolves at the Etihad.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston Villa - Sunday, 2pm

Aston Villa will travel to the south coast on Sunday afternoon to face Roberto De Zerbi’s Brighton & Hove Albion side in the Premier League. 

After a brilliant start to the campaign, Brighton’s season is now fizzing out rapidly, you feel that Europa League campaign didn’t do De Zerbi’s men any good, they look very fatigued in their games and they’ll be counting down the days until the season is over. They are currently twelfth in the Premier League and realistically can only hope for a top half finish, they’ve won just one league game in their last nine outings, which was a 1-0 victory over strugglers Nottingham Forest.

BRIGHTON V ASTON VILLA
Strength
20%
 
 
80%
Attacking Potential
8%
 
 
92%
Defensive Potential
48%
 
 
52%
Poisson Distribussion
49%
 
 
51%
Strength H2H
7%
 
 
93%
Goals H2H
26%
 
 
74%
Wins the Game
26.3%
 
 
73.7%

For Aston Villa, this game is sandwiched between their Europa Conference League semi-final fixtures against Olympiacos, Unai Emery would have loved to be able to rest some players ahead of their second leg in Greece but given top four and Champions League football for next season is in their hands, they have no other option but to win their remaining games to make certain. They’ll be frustrated with how their last outing played out, having been 2-0 up against Chelsea, the Villans just didn’t get going in the second half and could count themselves lucky that they came away with a draw. 

I think we can expect goals in this one, Brighton have seen both teams score in 75% of their Premier League home games, whilst the same can be said for 65% of Aston Villa games on the road, expecting an exciting game on the south coast.

Crystal Palace v Manchester United - Monday, 8pm

Manchester United will make the long trip to South London on Monday night to take on Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park in the Premier League.

Crystal Palace are really ending the season strongly under Oliver Glasner, unbeaten in their last four games and taking maximum points in three of them, the Eagles have confirmed their place in the Premier League for another season, they’ll now be hoping to finish as high as possible with just three games left to play.

CRYSTAL PALACE V MANCHESTER UNITED
Strength
63%
 
 
38%
Attacking Potential
48%
 
 
52%
Defensive Potential
61%
 
 
39%
Poisson Distribussion
49%
 
 
51%
Strength H2H
29%
 
 
71%
Goals H2H
31%
 
 
69%
Wins the Game
46.8%
 
 
53.3%

If this week’s rumours are to be true, Manchester United will be having a massive summer clear out, reports suggest the club will be willing to listen to offers for every one of their players apart from three. Yes, we know that’s very unlikely and maybe a bit extreme but there’s no doubt that change is needed at the club, especially on the pitch. Somehow, the Red Devils are still in a fight with Newcastle United for Europa Conference League football, after their recent stalemate with Burnley, just one point separates the two teams with just four games left to play, including their game against each other. 

If Man United are to get all three points here, they have to do something they haven’t done since 2020, beat the Eagles at Selhurst Park. Palace have lost just twice in their last ten home games across all competitions, whilst United haven’t won a league game on the road since their 2-1 victory over Luton in February.


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Sam (Footy_Tipster) is a sports betting tipster, specialising mainly in football although he has also been known to provide tips in Formula One. He has been running an online football tipping service for the past 10 years and continues to grow his community, with a social media following of over 30,000 sports fans. 

 

He is a keen Manchester United fan and a below average darts player, he doesn't know which is more frustrating.