This weekend’s Manchester derby could not come at a better time. Manchester City are top of the table by eight points, and could set a record by winning 14 straight matches. Manchester United are in second, having plodded along within reasonable sniping distance of their local rivals.

Catching City has largely remained plausible because of this fixture. Win it, and the gap is a mere five points. Fail to win at Old Trafford, though, and get engravers at the ready for Manchester City’s third Premier League title.

City’s near flawless season to date makes any prospect of a genuine title race only a faint hope. Guardiola’s team have not been at their fluent of best of late, but they have still only dropped two points in the league this season. It’s worth noting that those two points were largely down to a foolish Kyle Walker red card.

History of fixtures can be misleading. Changes in management and different players make comparisons between now and years past barely relevant. The track record of this bitterly-contested derby at Old Trafford has a pattern of note, though.

Manchester City did not win a league match at Manchester United’s home from 1974 until 2008. Since 2011 – the season when City won their first Premier League title – Manchester United have won only one of six derbies on their turf.

In that period, too, City have won the league twice. Manchester United have won it just once – in Alex Ferguson’s final season – and finished outside the top four in all but one of the seasons since Ferguson’s retirement.

The title tussle in 2011/12 ended in one of the all-time great sporting moments. The voice of Martin Tyler echoes around the Etihad Stadium to this day, but it was the 6-1 humiliation at Old Trafford that set the tone for City’s campaign. Roberto Mancini’s side not only secured a rare derby win, they dismantled United in a way that had been unthinkable throughout Ferguson’s historic reign.

This weekend will have similar implications. City’s majestic football has deprived us of a toe-to-toe battle in Manchester, but this weekend is a neutral’s glimmer of hope. It is no more than a cooling ember of what could have been a roaring, fiery season, but it might just be the final chance to grasp City before they storm into the sunset.

Jose Mourinho and Guardiola are – too often, perhaps – the stories themselves. City’s manager was in the spotlight for an excitable chat with Nathan Redmond last week, and Jose Mourinho’s pre-match press conference this Friday will have the attention of the footballing world. Their rivalry began in Spain, and each new chapter gets thorough investigation for the slightest signal of bitterness.

Underachievement last year contributed to relative peace. For fans of ‘mind games’, we can be sure that will end in the coming days.

Guardiola, though, has the upper hand on Mourinho with eight wins to Mourinho’s four. Both will approach the match in the same way they have approached previous meetings, despite the circumstances.

Mourinho has to end City’s dominance at Old Trafford, and beat his nemesis for a fifth time to keep the door towards the Premier League trophy ajar. He was hired to bring major titles to Old Trafford, and push back against the growth of the noisiest neighbours in world football.

Another home loss would be a failure for Mourinho, and – perhaps more importantly – set City on the path of an invincible Premier League campaign.

Talk of ‘power shifts’ drew plenty of attention prior to the north London derby a few weeks ago. The contest for the upper-hand in Manchester is far clearer this decade, and there’s no doubt the onus is on this weekend’s hosts to wrestle against the sky-blue juggernaut.

If Mourinho can mastermind a second Premier League home derby win since 2011, it will not only begin to offset City’s years of superiority, but reignite the chance of a challenge to Guardiola’s side.

December 9, 2017
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Sam is a sports tipster, specialising in the Premier League and Champions League.

He covers most sports, including cricket and Formula One. Sam particularly enjoys those on the other side of the Atlantic Ocean – notably MLB and NBA.

Watching, writing and talking about sports betting takes up most of his time, whether that is for a day out at T20 Finals Day or a long night of basketball.

Having been writing for several years, Sam has been working with 888Sport since 2016, contributing multiple articles per week to the blog.

Sam Cox
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We can forget about European competition until 2018. Our focus for the remainder of this calendar year is solely on domestic action, and it is about to get particularly chaotic in the Premier League.

The fixtures that draw the most attention are on Sunday this weekend, but there’s fascinating fixtures up and down the league. A few such matches kick-off at the traditional, frustratingly blacked out, 3pm on a Saturday.

Burnley vs Watford

Few expected Burnley and Watford to occupy seventh and eighth respectively in December. I certainly didn’t, despite the undoubtable excellence of Marco Silva and Sean Dyche’s all-encompassing ability to get results.

Shrewd spending, but – more importantly – superb management, has Burnley level on points with Tottenham, with the Hornets a mere three points behind.

This weekend could see the pair switch places, or – if Watford fail to win –the Hornets could drop into ninth. It’s an important fixture in the race to finish seventh.

Burnley deft logic. They have scored just 14, by far the lowest in the top half, but they are the masters of the narrow win. Watford, meanwhile, treat everyone to goals at both ends of the pitch.

It’s a tough one to call as a result, so I’m opting for both teams to score thanks to Watford’s leaky defence.

TIP: Both teams to score @ 10/11

Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth

Roy Hodgson is yet to receive his deserved praise at Crystal Palace. While even victory this weekend will not take them out of the bottom three, it would be yet another sign that the Eagles can fly to safety this season.

Their visitors pulled through their own poor start with a couple of wins, but have since gone winless in three. Taking just one point from two home fixtures is a concern for any side, and Eddie Howe’s team will be just two points above Palace if they lose at Selhurst on Saturday.

These are matches that Palace have to win. I think the ultra-pragmatism of Hodgson should hold off the Cherries’ inconsistent attack and notch a crucial three points for the London club.

TIP: Crystal Palace to win @ Evens

Huddersfield Town vs Brighton

Fixtures between newly-promoted sides are telling. Since a positive start, Huddersfield have lost four straight, scoring just one in the process. Their visitors on Saturday have not won in four, but have a couple more points to their name.

Goal scoring is a worry for both teams. Brighton have been able to score five more than Huddersfield so far this season, however. Only Swansea and Palace have scored fewer goals than the Terriers this campaign.

Both teams have provided some impressive defensive performances, but it is Brighton that hold the better record there too.

I worry for David Wagner’s side if they cannot win matches like this. Unfortunately, Brighton look the better side at the moment in all areas of the pitch.

TIP: Brighton to win or match to be drawn @ 1/2

Swansea vs West Bromwich Albion

Defeat to Stoke last weekend has put Paul Clement on the brink. Swansea fell to the bottom of the table, and are now four points from safety.

West Brom sit just above the bottom three at the moment, and have already made their managerial move to bring in firefighter Alan Pardew. A draw in his first match was a little underwhelming, but the performance was a definite improvement.

Clement is having to wrestle with a painfully imbalanced squad. Pardew has had a full week to work with his new players, and I fancy that to pay off here.

TIP: West Brom to win or match to be drawn @ 1/2

Tottenham vs Stoke City

Spurs collected the most points of any team in the Champions League group stage. While that is a remarkable feat, their joyous mood at the club is dampened with a quick glance at the table.

One win in five has Mauricio Pochettino’s men four points off the top four, and closer to the bottom of the table than the top of it.

via GIPHY

Stoke notched a vital victory over Swansea last weekend, that might just have saved Mark Hughes’ job. The Potters’ fans are growing frustrated with the club. Now sitting six points from the drop zone, though, Hughes should be safe for a few weeks yet.

Champions League hangover has harmed Spurs before, but I can’t see past the Lilywhites against this Stoke team.

TIP: Tottenham to win @ 7/25

*Odds subject to change - correct at time of writing*

December 8, 2017
Body

Sam is a sports tipster, specialising in the Premier League and Champions League.

He covers most sports, including cricket and Formula One. Sam particularly enjoys those on the other side of the Atlantic Ocean – notably MLB and NBA.

Watching, writing and talking about sports betting takes up most of his time, whether that is for a day out at T20 Finals Day or a long night of basketball.

Having been writing for several years, Sam has been working with 888Sport since 2016, contributing multiple articles per week to the blog.

Sam Cox