This international break is a bit frustrating with the Premier League and Champions League getting into decisive periods. It is, also, well worth the domestic action respite. There are a few meaningless friendlies cluttering the schedule, but we have the tension of World Cup playoffs.

A straight, two-legged showdown for a spot in the groups in Russia next summer. Almost as good as non-tournament international matches get.

CROATIA vs GREECE

Croatia looked to have Group I wrapped up for much of the qualifying campaign. It turned out not to be the case, though, when Iceland once again spoiled the party to snatch top spot. As a result, Luka Modric and co are facing the 2004 European champions over two legs to secure a place in Russia.

Greece pipped Bosnia and Herzegovina to second spot in Group H behind the runaway Belgians. Their 17 goals was a couple more than their hosts for this fixture, but they conceded a couple more too.

Croatia were solid in their group, but goals proved hard to come by. Only once – in the opening match against Kosovo – did they score more than two. Only in one of their ten matches did both teams score.

The visitors were just as ineffectual in the final third, having bolstered their goal scoring numbers with eight against Gibraltar.

TIP: Under 2.5 goals @ 4/7

NORTHERN IRELAND vs SWITZERLAND

Northern Ireland leant on a steely defence to grab a playoff berth. They will aim to do so again when they face Switzerland.

The Swiss won nine of their 10 in the group stage. A truly stunning record, yet it’s even more stunning that they ended up in the playoffs. In the same group, Portugal also won nine of 10, but the European champions ended with a far superior goal difference.

Switzerland’s solitary defeat came in the last match of the group stage to Portugal, just to make it even tougher to take. The under 2.5 goal line looks well priced here...

Stoke City’s Xherdan Shaqiri is one of the stars for Switzerland, and could be creative spark to unlock a Northern Ireland defence that kept seven clean sheets in the group stage. Switzerland did keep six of their own, mind.

TIP: Under 2.5 goals @ 21/50

SWEDEN vs Italy

Italy had to settle for second in Group G. The near-perfect Spaniards blocked their direct path to the World Cup, so it’s a challenging tie with Sweden to determine their immediate future.

Sweden had their own challenges to even get this far. The Netherlands’ recent demise contributed to their success, but it still required some hefty goal scoring against the minnows to secure their place in the playoffs. A victory over France was the undoubted highlight, and this Swedish team are every bit as tough to beat as their reputation suggests.

Drawing with Macedonia and scraping past Albania hardly brings the Italians into this on top form. The search for balance in the team is yet to reach a helpful ending, and creativity has been almost non-existent throughout the qualifying campaign.

Unfortunately, we could be in for yet another cagey encounter in this one. First legs are often dictated by a desire to stay in the tie, I can see this being tense, but boring.

TIP: Sweden or Draw @ 16/25

DENMARK vs Republic of Ireland

It took a rearguard action and an almost painfully pressurised victory against Wales, but the Republic of Ireland have made it to the playoffs. Their tie with Denmark is probably as good as they could have hoped for.

Denmark, though, have one of the form players in world football available in the shape of Christian Eriksen. The Spurs midfielder is the man to watch in this match, and could turn the tie in a moment of individual brilliance. Or, if given space, could dictate the match for 90 minutes.

A draw with Romania to end the group stage showed the inconsistency of this Denmark side. They will have fancied their chances in a fairly easy group, but could not keep pace with Poland.

Ireland, meanwhile, will throw their backs straight against the wall and hope to snatch a goal. That has been the general game plan under Martin O’Neill, and will stick with it. Only scoring 12 in their group is a worry, and means a couple of goals for the Danes could as good as kill this tie.

TIP: Denmark to win @ 8/11

*Odds subject to change - correct at time of writing*

November 7, 2017
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Sam is a sports tipster, specialising in the Premier League and Champions League.

He covers most sports, including cricket and Formula One. Sam particularly enjoys those on the other side of the Atlantic Ocean – notably MLB and NBA.

Watching, writing and talking about sports betting takes up most of his time, whether that is for a day out at T20 Finals Day or a long night of basketball.

Having been writing for several years, Sam has been working with 888Sport since 2016, contributing multiple articles per week to the blog.

Sam Cox
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Since he made his debut as a 17-year-old in 2011, Ross Barkley has been hounded by the weight of English expectation. Whether denounced as the best since Gazza or called ‘the most talented footballer I’ve worked with’ by team-mates, pressure has been cast upon Barkley since his very first taste of professional football.

Improvement has been hard to find. Under David Moyes he was loaned out, under Roberto Martinez there were signs Barkley was ready to break out in a big way, and now under Ronald Koeman he has been cast into the role of isolated star.

Philippe Coutinho in as short as 3/1 to join PSG this summer

A player of Barkley’s teenage talent is expected to become something exceptional, someone you tell your kids about. Management changes and perhaps the enormous expectation have restricted the next step for Barkley and his career has stagnated. Now that Davy Klaassen and Wayne Rooney have been acquired by Everton, Barkley’s immediate future looks set to be elsewhere and Koeman squeezed him towards the door.

It may sound bleak, but Koeman’s lack of interest in Barkley is far from the shock or reflection on the midfielder’s career is could seem. The England international shan’t be cast into the wilderness of mid-table, his promise and underlying ability will see him step up in the footballing world this summer.

Liverpool to move for Dusan Tadic at 6/1?

A move to Premier League runners-up, Tottenham, is looking likely at 1/2. The required fee is largely unknown, with a variety of prices having already been rumoured. Having recently sold Kyle Walker for around £50 million, however, Spurs are not going to have an issue coughing up even the largest of fees should Mauricio Pochettino and Daniel Levy so wish.

Barkley fits the Spurs profile. Young with plenty of room to grow under Pochettino, the Toffee academy graduate will not find a better home than with the Spurs manager, who has nurtured several gifted youngsters at Spurs already. For Spurs, though, there must be a concern about bringing the best out of Barkley and finding enough minutes for him while Mousa Dembele, Dele Alli and Christian Eriksen remain fit. Dropping into the deeper role usually occupied by Dembele might just be one way Pochettino sees he can kickstart Barkley’s career.

Everton 10/1 to land Manchester United defensive outcast this summer

Should Spurs fail to complete a deal for Barkley, though, he is at 7/5 to still be a Toffee once the window closes. Even the newly-wealthy Everton are unlikely to retain a player that is clearly not significant in the manager’s plans, which could make the rest of the betting market for Barkley more appealing.

Manchester United, Arsenal and West Ham are currently outsiders at 10/1, while Chelsea – who are short of midfield options – are 11/1 to secure Barkley this summer. Given their transfer revenue of late, the Blues could make a late swoop for the Evertonian having been interested previously. Arsenal could yet join the race for Barkley too and the once-prodigy might thrive in their 3-4-3.

July 21, 2017
Body

Sam is a sports tipster, specialising in the Premier League and Champions League.

He covers most sports, including cricket and Formula One. Sam particularly enjoys those on the other side of the Atlantic Ocean – notably MLB and NBA.

Watching, writing and talking about sports betting takes up most of his time, whether that is for a day out at T20 Finals Day or a long night of basketball.

Having been writing for several years, Sam has been working with 888Sport since 2016, contributing multiple articles per week to the blog.

Sam Cox