The Challow Novices’ Hurdle this Saturday is a Grade 1 Race run at Newbury over 2 miles 4½ furlongs and Novice Hurdlers aged four and older are eligible to run in it.

Previous winners have included Bonanza Boy, Large Action, Bindaree, Denman, Witchita Lineman and Reve de Sivola.

 

  • 10/10 - Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before.
  • 10/10 - The last 10 winners have been aged 4, 5, or 6.
  • 10/10 - Had raced in the last 8 weeks.
  • 10/10 – Had placed in the top three last time out.
  • 10/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting. SPs of the winners have ranged from 4/11 to 8/1.
  • 9/10 - Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival producing one winner (Wichita Lineman, 2006).
  • 8/10 winners were rated 137 or higher
  • 5/10 – Were winning favourites.
  • 3/10 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill .JP McManus has owned 2 of the last 8 winners.
  • 3/10 winners ran in the Classic Novices Hurdle next with two of them winning.
  • 2/10 – Were ridden by Daryl Jacob.
  • 2/10 – Were trained by Nick Williams.

 

Main Contenders

Champ (Nicky Henderson)

Champ has lived up to his name thus far this season winning on his last three starts over hurdles by a combined distance of 25 lengths.

He was very impressive last time out, heading to the front and holding on with ease to win a big handicap at Newbury.

He is a course-and-distance winner too and it is totally understandable why he is at the top of the market.

 

Coolanly (Fergal O'Brien)

Coolanly has run in decent company since being beaten by Vinndication on his hurdles debut.

He was made favourite when falling in a Grade 2 at Chepstow on his seasonal debut but made up for that with victory in another Grade 2 at Cheltenham last time.

He officially has 7lb to find with Champ but he is trained by last year’s winning trainer Fergal O’Brien who will eke out every last drop of improvement in him.

 

Brewin'Upastorm (Olly Murphy)

Olly Murphy’s got off the mark over hurdles at the first time of asking.

It is hard to tell whether he beat much in that hurdle at Huntingdon but there is plenty of scope for improvement and the punters appear to like him in the horse racing betting market.

 

Kateson (Tom Lacey)

Finished second in the bumper at the Grand National Meeting and has won both his hurdle races thus far. He was backed into favouritism for both those wins.

Kateson is a course-and-distance winner on similar ground to what he will encounter on Saturday and has shaped like a class animal this term.

He is officially rated 9lb inferior to Champ but could easily serve it up to him on Saturday.

 

Getaway Trump (Paul Nicholls)

Paul Nicholls’ five-year-old was visually impressive as he powered away from his rivals last time out at Exeter.

That race may have been over two miles only but he has won over this extended trip already this season and looks to be a horse on an upward spiral.

 

Alsa Mix (Alan King)

A winning point-to-pointer, the grey mare ran in a couple of bumpers in September and November, winning them both.

She surprisingly went off at odds of 12/1 at Sandown on her hurdles debut and duly won, beating Darlac and Mercy Mercy Me in the process.

Her trainer won this race in 2016 and he comes into this battle with an unbeaten horse.

 

Conclusion

With a multitude of hotpots taking a thumping over the Christmas holiday period it is a very difficult time to be a favourite backer at the moment.

Tom Lacey is currently a trainer very much in form and his Kateson looks destined for bigger and greater things. He is the selection to take on the favourite with.

888sport suggests: Kateson (win).

 

*Odds subject to change - correct at time of writing*

December 28, 2018

By Steve Mullington

Steve Mullington
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    Steven is a sports and horse racing enthusiast and is a member of the Horseracing Writers and Photographers Association (HWPA) in the United Kingdom.

    He is a regular visitor to Paris Longchamp for the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe and a lifelong fan of the Aintree Grand National, a subject he writes about 52 weeks of the year. Last year he reached the impressive milestone of attending the last 30 renewals of the Grand National.

    Steven graduated from the University Of Lancaster in 1996 with a B.A (Hons) in Urban Policy & Race Relations (major) with Contemporary Religions & Belief Systems (minor) and still wonders if any of these help him find the winners?

    He writes for a number of websites and online publications and you can sometimes hear him at the weekend discussing racing on a number of local radio stations. 

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    The world of combat sports is often considered to be the ultimate in sporting competition. When the opening bell rings, it's one on one, with few external factors involved in deciding the identity of the winner.

    One factor that does play a part, however, is home advantage. Some of the world's best fighters take full advantage of the ability to compete in friendly territory, where they often produce their best performances.

    Here are five fighters from the sports of boxing and mixed martial arts whose propensity to produce the goods in front of their own fans has meant facing them in the ring or the cage is an uphill struggle from the very first bell.

    The Underappreciated Champion: Joe Calzaghe

    Welsh wonder Joe Calzaghe still doesn’t get the full recognition his career deserves, and it’s more than likely as a result of where he fought.

    Calzaghe fought outside of Great Britain just four times in his 46-fight career, and only fought twice in the United States – in his final two bouts against Bernard Hopkins and Roy Jones Jr.

    Calzaghe took on and beat the best in the world during his career. He dethroned the great Brit Chris Eubank in a thriller in Sheffield, England to capture the WBO super-middleweight world title, and he went on to defend the belt an incredible 21 times.

    His dismantling of Jeff “Left Hook” Lacy remains one of the best performances ever seen by a British boxer in a world title fight as he completely outclassed the big-punching American, who at the time was considered to be the next big thing at 168lbs.

    Calzaghe then went on to defeat gritty Danish star Mikkel Kessler before heading Stateside for his only two fights in America as he outpointed Bernard Hopkins and Roy Jones Jr in his final two appearances before retirement. 

    Had Calzaghe fought in the US earlier in his career, it would undoubtedly have boosted his reputation in boxing’s financial heartland. He returned as a rarity in the sport, a legitimately undefeated world champion, with a stellar record of 46-0 with 32 knockouts.

    He was always a star in Wales and the rest of the UK, but his skills undoubtedly deserved more credit in the United States.

     

    The Stay-At-Home Champion: Sven Ottke

    Talk to a casual boxing fan about Sven Ottke and they’ll either tell you they’ve never heard of him, or they’ll say that he was a flat-track bully who never left his comfort zone.

    Ottke fought outside of his native Germany just once in his undefeated 34-fight career, and captured the IBF super-middleweight world champion in his 13th career fight.

    Once he got his hands on championship gold, Ottke made it his business to do everything he could to keep his hands on it.

    That meant a risk-averse approach to his career that saw him steer well clear of any of the other elite-level super-middleweights in the world at the time in favour of bouts against mid-ranking fighters with less knockout risk.

    Ottke’s career management also extended to where he fought, as he steadfastly refused to defend his title anywhere but in his home nation.

    He defended his IBF title 21 consecutive times, winning 16 of them on the scorecards, some of them controversially.

    It was pointed out that he often fought with every hometown advantage possible, with the bouts taking place in Germany, with German referees and German judges for many of his fights.

    It proved a successful combination, as Ottke retired undefeated at 34-0, but for those who remember his career at the time, there will always be an asterisk over “The Phantom’s” career as a world champion.

     

    The Stadium Filler: Anthony Joshua

    From the moment he captured Olympic gold on home soil at London 2012, Anthony Joshua was a national hero in Great Britain. That success has led to packed houses across the UK ever since, and there is no need to leave his home nation to compete overseas.

    His star power is such that he not only generated huge pay-per-view revenues in the UK, but his fights also still grab the attention of fight fans in the United States.

    His situation is a stark contrast from that of his predecessor, Wladimir Klitschko, who lived and competed mostly in Germany during his heavyweight title reign.

    While Klitschko's boring style meant he was a turn-off for US TV viewers, Joshua's knockout power and penchant for exciting, action-packed fights means he's a sure-fire hit Stateside.

    He's the heavyweight champion of the world, he's undefeated, he fills football stadiums and he's a pay-per-view hit on both sides of the Atlantic. Why on earth would he give that up to fight overseas?

     

    Master Of His Own Destiny: Floyd Mayweather Jr

    Whether you prefer him as “Pretty Boy Floyd” or the brash, trash-talking “Money Mayweather”, Floyd Mayweather has forged a legendary career that has seen him go 50-0 against the best of the best at his weight.

    While some champions have been accused of ducking opponents in their careers, Mayweather has perfected the art building interest in fights to fever-pitch levels before then taking on the challenge and coming through victorious.

    Few fighters have the level of control over their careers that Mayweather has achieved, particularly later in his career, which has been contested exclusively on American soil.

    In his 35th career bout, he defeated Sharmba Mitchell in November 2005 in Portland, Oregon. Since then, he has fought exclusively in his hometown of Las Vegas, Nevada.

    Fifteen consecutive fights in Sin City saw Mayweather take on the world’s best, including Miguel Cotto, Canelo Alvarez, Marcos Maidana and Manny Pacquiao.

    In his latest bout, he earned his biggest-ever payday when he fought former two-division UFC world champion, Conor McGregor.

    Mayweather’s run of fighting at home is set to come to an end as he has agreed to a three-round exhibition bout against kickboxing world champion Tenshin Nasukawa at Japanese martial arts promotion Rizin’s New Year’s Eve show at the end of 2018.

     

    King Of Myanmar: Aung La N Sang

    “The Burmese Python” Aung La N Sang may not be a household name in the United States or across Europe, but the Myanmar-born fighter is a bonafide superstar in Asia’s biggest martial arts organisation, ONE Championship.

    The American-based mixed martial arts star has a mixed record overall, but since rising to the heights in ONE Championship, he has been given the opportunity to fight in the country of his birth where, he has been simply unbeatable.

    N Sang has fought six times at the Thuwunna Indoor Stadium, including in each of his last five matchups, and he has produced spectacular winning performances each time as he captured the ONE middleweight and light-heavyweight titles.

    His walkouts are among the most electric in combat sports, his fans are among the most passionate and his fights in Yangon are simply must-see TV.

    Put simply, “The Burmese Python” in the Thuwunna is a force to be reckoned with, and one of the most dominant forces in combat sports today. It’s going to take a very special athlete, and a very special performance, to defeat him on home soil.

     

    *Odds subject to change - correct at time of writing*

    December 24, 2018

    By 888sport

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    The 888sport blog is here to offer betting and tipping advice on the biggest sports fixtures, events and competitions around the world.

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    The highlight of the racing calendar over the busy Christmas period is undoubtedly the King George VI Chase at Kempton Park on Boxing Day.

    The race, which is run over a distance of three miles, negotiating eighteen fences, is now the second most prestigious chase in England, surpassed only by the Cheltenham Gold Cup.

    The last ten renewals of the race have been dominated by horses trained by Paul Nicholls, Nicky Henderson and Colin Tizzard.

    Here is a look at the trends and statistics on the King George VI Chase based on the last ten years:

    Age (wins-placed-runners)

    5-y-o: 0-0-1

    6-y-o: 1-5-14

    7-y-o: 2-5-22

    8-y-o: 4-4-7

    9-y-o: 2-2-15

    10-y-o: 0-2-8

    11-y-o+: 1-0-5

    It could be argued that horses aged six to nine have the slight edge over their older peers in the race in recent years, but it is not a clear-cut trend.

     

    Recent Form

    • Nine of the last ten winners were officially rated 172 or higher.
    • Nine of the last ten winners ran in the last forty days.
    • Ten of the last ten winners had won over three miles plus.
    • Ten of the last ten winners had won at least one Grade One chase.
    • Nine of the last ten winners had won at Kempton before over the race distance.

     

    Trainer Form

    • Paul Nicholls has won five of the last ten renewals.
    • Nicky Henderson had notable success with Long Run in this race before Might Bite came along.
    • Colin Tizzard broke the Nicholls/Henderson stranglehold on this race in 2015 and 2016.
    • Irish trained runners have a very poor record in this race, boasting just three winners in the last forty years. Those winners were: Florida Pearl (2001) and Kicking King (2004, 2005).

     

    Significant Races

    • Record of the previous year’s winner: 11132U1P4
    • Betfair Chase winner: 117112111
    • Cheltenham Gold Cup winner: 1112
    • First three home in the Cheltenham Gold Cup: 311121P1U
    • Charlie Hall Chase winner: P41

     

    Starting Price

    • The last ten winners came from the first three in the horse racing betting markets.
    • Six favourites have won in the last ten renewals.
    • All the winners since 2005 have been priced 9/2 or shorter.

     

    Runner-By-Runner Guide

    Bristol De Mai

    Won the Betfair Chase again in fine style and strangely does not get all the plaudits and recognition that he deserves.

    Many unfairly describe him as a “one trick pony” but he will be out to set the record straight on Boxing Day as he chases down the lucrative second leg of the Jockey Club Triple Crown prize.

     

    Clan Des Obeaux

    The six-year-old ran a creditable race in the Betfair Chase coming along with a sustained challenge a couple of fences from home, before just fading back.

    The suspicion with him is that he likes it fairly soft and he does not look like getting that type of ground on Boxing Day.

     

    Coneygree

    A former Gold Cup winner but he has been dogged with niggles and injuries ever since.

    He ran a blinder of a race in the BetVictor Chase at Cheltenham last time out given the length of time he had been off the track. He will certainly have plenty of each-way punters following him.

     

    Double Shuffle

    Trained by Tom George, the eight-year-old ran second to Might Bite in this race last year and Kempton clearly brings out the best in him.

    He ran well at Aintree last time out and is another who looks well over-priced.

     

    Might Bite

    Last year’s winner but comes into this race on the back of a spectacular flop in the Betfair Chase at Haydock Park.

    He is the type of horse to bounce right back and understandably he is the favourite once again for this contest.

     

    Native River

    Another Gold Cup winner in the field and the most recent one at that.

    He ran a great race behind Bristol De Mai in the Betfair Chase and you cannot imagine him finishing out of the frame in this renewal of the King George. Which one of the top three places he occupies is the million dollar question here?

     

    Politologue

    After winning the Christy 1965 Chase at Ascot there is plenty to like about this Paul Nicholls-trained grey and he should stay out the distance.

    If he wins this race he will evoke many good memories of another grey and former King George VI winner, the legendary Desert Orchid.

     

    Tea For Two

    Has 19lb to find on Native River and would be a shock winner of this race. His last win came at Aintree in 2017 when he won the Bowl but he has shown nothing since.

     

    Thistlecrack

    His comeback race at Haydock was very encouraging and it showed there was still plenty of fire in his belly.

    A reproduction of that run must put him in with a shout on Wednesday afternoon.

     

    Waiting Patiently

    Ruth Jefferson's stable star has not been seen on a racecourse since beating Cue Card in February's Ascot Chase and his comeback run will be right in at the deep end here.

    The seven-year-old has been well supported in the betting but this will be a really major ask and others look better equipped on this occasion.

     

    CONCLUSION

    Nigel Twiston-Davies looks to be in a prime position to put the naysayers to bed with his Bristol De Mai and the seven-year-old can add to his Betfair Chase victory by taking this.

    Native River and Might Bite are our predictions to chase him home.

    888sport suggests: Bristol De Mai (win).

     

    *Odds subject to change - correct at time of writing*

    December 24, 2018

    By Steve Mullington

    Steve Mullington
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    Steven is a sports and horse racing enthusiast and is a member of the Horseracing Writers and Photographers Association (HWPA) in the United Kingdom.

    He is a regular visitor to Paris Longchamp for the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe and a lifelong fan of the Aintree Grand National, a subject he writes about 52 weeks of the year. Last year he reached the impressive milestone of attending the last 30 renewals of the Grand National.

    Steven graduated from the University Of Lancaster in 1996 with a B.A (Hons) in Urban Policy & Race Relations (major) with Contemporary Religions & Belief Systems (minor) and still wonders if any of these help him find the winners?

    He writes for a number of websites and online publications and you can sometimes hear him at the weekend discussing racing on a number of local radio stations. 

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    In the promised realm of heavyweight boxing, the last five years have been dominated by three major names – Tyson Fury, Deontay Wilder and Anthony Joshua.

    All three have their rival merits, and each has his ardent supporters who firmly believe that he is the greatest of the current era.

    In the fashion of great heavyweights before them, all have stepped up and done the business at flashpoint moments in their respective careers.

    Yet, this coming winter, boxing fans will have the starkest reason yet to wax lyrical about one of them.

    Fury vs Wilder: Fight On?

    As of the start of the 2018/19 boxing season, Joshua held three titles (WBA, IBF & WBO), while only the WBC had Deontay Wilder as their disputed champion.

    Though without a belt at that time, Tyson Fury’s rise up the rankings after an enigmatic career to date, puts him firmly in the same league as Wilder and Joshua. Combined, all three men have a monstrous fight record of 88 wins and no draws or losses.

    Belts aside, there appears little to separate them – but in the winter of 2018, one (or both) of Deontay Wilder and Tyson Fury will lose their undefeated status.

    It is set to be a fight on par with the famous December 2007 PPV bout between Floyd Mayweather Jr and Ricky Hatton, and the result will create huge ripples in the heavyweight division.

    A defeat for Wilder, which is currently priced at just 13/20 in boxing betting, would represent more than just a lost fight.

    Wilder: "I want a body on my record. I want one, I really do." 

    What an absolute idiot. pic.twitter.com/0UNRryzXvn

    — 888sport (@888sport) April 2, 2018

    It would also represent the loss of his chance to emulate Floyd Mayweather Jr’s new 50-0 all-time record, and almost certainly make a marketable ‘prime-on-prime’ bout with Joshua almost impossible.

    Tyson Fury also works best when he has nothing to lose. His early stardom went straight to his head, but as an apparently-changed man, his hunger for success is now greater than it has ever been before.

    At this point, the man from Wythenshawe has said little other than that “it will be an epic battle”. Should the projected agendas of each fighter go the way of bookmakers’ expectations, a Joshua v Wilder unification match in April 2019 is anticipated.

    Should that all-defining meeting of undefeated titans become a reality after Fury v Wilder, then an age-old boxing adage will once more apply – the fight won and lost long before the combatants touch gloves and come out fighting.

    The First Ten Fights

    Chronologically, the genesis of a win comes from the very birth of a fighter-to-be.

    The (invariably challenging) circumstances in which they grow up, how they are trained to make the most of their fighting instinct, the resources they have, and who they initially fight as professionals are all differential factors in their ultimate fate.

    Both Wilder and Fury turned professional in 2008, giving them a five-year edge over Joshua in terms of experience. All three men enjoyed the professional’s typical run to 10-0 against relatively-easy opposition.

    However, Joshua may hold something of an advantage, having taken just nine fights to win a belt sanctioned by a recognised international boxing organisation, in the form of the WBC International heavyweight title.

    Making It Stateside

    Beyond the first piece of tangible silverware, the typical path of the world heavyweight champion becomes less clear-cut.

    Depending on the quality of opposition, travelling to fight foreign opponents on their own turf can be rewarding or chastening, but it invariably turns challengers into contenders, as the boxer in question sees his international presence grow.

    This is particularly true of non-U.S fighters getting wins in the States, and remarkably – by April 2019 – all of Joshua’s professional fights will have taken place on British soil, including when he faces Povetkin at Wembley as 1/10 favourite.

    Though it would do his abilities a disservice to suggest that fighting away from British shores would hamper his killer instinct, his lack of a real presence in the States can only be a hindrance towards anyone who wants to declare him as the greatest British talent ever in good conscience.

    By contrast, it only took fellow Brit Tyson Fury thirteen fights to cross the Atlantic, beating Zack Page by unanimous decision in Quebec City eight years ago.

    His maiden match in the U.S against an American (Steve Cunningham) was also a watershed moment for Fury. The seventh-round knockout win put him within two fights of his first international level belt – namely, the WBO international heavyweight title.

    Another two fights later, Fury unified four belts at Vladimir Klitschko’s expense.

    Defining Battles And Difficulty Of Defence

    In the professional career of any heavyweight legend, there has always been a defining battle. For Muhammad Ali, his 1964 knockout of the universally-feared Sonny Liston was just that; as was Mike Tyson’s record-breaking knockout of Trevor Berbick two decades later.

    While Fury v Wilder will certainly define a lot in its own right, all three of Fury, Wilder and Joshua have already had watershed fights – but identifying the toughest of these is up for debate.

    Fury’s obvious fight of this ilk would, naturally, be the aforementioned unification victory over Klitschko in November 2015.

    Nearly eighteen months later, Joshua would beat that same opponent to win the WBA (Super) and IBO belts, succeeding where Fury failed by stopping the Ukrainian in the eleventh round.

    While a more impressive feat on paper, eighteen months is a long time for a boxer that – like Klitschko – is on the professional wane.

    Though this does nothing to help settle the debate as to which Brit had the harder task, in claiming multiple belts in a single fight for the first time, Joshua’s subsequent fights have been far more demanding.

    Fury immediately faced thirty-nine-year-old Sefer Seferi and took only four rounds to make his opponent’s corner concede defeat.

    He then faced Francesco Pianeta, of Italy, who had lost two of his last three fights. Joshua, meanwhile, followed up his own win over Klitschko with victories over much worthier opponents – namely, Carlos Takam and Joseph Parker.

    Split Decision

    While it is easy to say that Joshua’s last two fights have been more challenging than Fury’s, the proverbial jury is still very much out, as to whether Joshua has also worked harder than Wilder over the past year.

    Such is Wilder’s ability he has made most of his opponents look ordinary, after winning the WBC heavyweight title from Bermane Stiverne in January 2015.

    Ironically, he reserved his best for what was seen as the greatest threat to his defence, which was the Stiverne rematch that got no further than the first round.

    In his most recent bout, Wilder forced to wait until the tenth round to stop the previously unbeaten Luis Ortiz, which gives some credibility to the idea that Wilder is now finding himself in a losing race to reach that fabled 50-0.

    Ultimately, Joshua’s trajectory has been the sharpest overall. Wilder’s 40-0 record tells a tale of its own, but winning international honours within the first ten professional fights of a pro career is a rarity these days.

    Joshua’s quickfire rise, from Olympian to international champion, should be enough to at least put him on course to be the best of the current ‘big three’, if he isn’t strictly so already.

    That noted, the battle to succeed is as much within oneself as it is in the ring, and for that reason, people who want to declare Fury as the greatest force of heavyweight boxing have some very real, and tangible, verbal ammunition.

     

    *Odds subject to change - correct at time of writing*

    December 24, 2018

    By 888sport

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    The 888sport blog is here to offer betting and tipping advice on the biggest sports fixtures, events and competitions around the world.

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    BIRMINGHAM CITY vs Stoke City: Best Bets

    Blues – 9/5

    Draw – 21/10

    Stoke – 8/5

    Who saw that coming? Oh yeah, we did. Birmingham were rampant against Wigan Athletic on December 23rd – putting three goals past the Latics in a superb away performance.

    The Blues will be looking to follow up with a home win over Stoke City on Boxing Day…

    Garry Monk’s side are 9/5 to claim three points against the Potters and Blues fans will be quietly confident of notching another home triumph.

    Birmingham have lost just one of their last 16 league games at St Andrew’s and it would be foolish to back against the hosts here.

    As tipped in our Wigan Athletic preview, Che Adams got his name on the scoreboard with his 11th goal of the Championship campaign.

    Now leading the way as Birmingham’s top goal scorer this season, Adams is 9/4 to add another to his tally.

    The Blues have been one of the most consistent teams in the Championship going forward; Birmingham have scored 35 goals in 23 second tier games.

    A win here will keep Monk’s men above Stoke and the Blues could finish Boxing Day as high as seventh in the table.

    Expecting the Potters to roll over would be foolish – Stoke will give a decent account in this clash.

    Gary Rowett’s side have been in decent form as of late and a goal in both halves at 17/20 is well worth considering.

    7/4 for Birmingham to score over 1.5 goals this weekend and plenty of punters will be keen to back the Blues at that price.

    The selection has landed in eight of Birmingham’s last 10 league fixtures in 2018/19.

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    888sport customers will fancy the Blues at 9/5 to secure yet another home win. However, siding with the 7/4 for over 1.5 home goals may be the best bet.

    Monk’s men are firing on all cylinders right now and it would take a brave man to write Birmingham off.

    Prediction: Birmingham 2-1 Stoke (8/1)

    Bet of the day: Over 1.5 Blues goals (7/4)

    Outside punt: Birmingham to score in both halves (10/3)

     

    *Odds subject to change - correct at time of writing*

    December 23, 2018

    By Alex McMahon

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    Alex is a sports betting tipster, specialising in Premier League football, the Champions League and horse racing.

    He loves placing a weekly accumulator on the football at the weekend and dreams of landing the big winner that will take him back to Las Vegas.

    As well as writing sports betting tips for 888sport since 2015, Alex has produced content for several international media companies, such as Goal.com and The SPORTBible. 
     

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    Boxers don’t have an old timer’s place, and certainly don’t age like wine.

    While some boxers have the privilege of quitting at a ripe old age, looking back on a stellar career, others do so prematurely and with a twinge of regret.

    Even now, some boxers who are still currently active are looking set to leave the industry in the latter way, unless fate intervenes drastically.

    Here, we look at several boxers who remain underrated, because their achievements have not matched their skills (or vice-versa) and some who were simply overhyped before their time.

    Andre Ward: Oh, What Could Have Been

    It is rare to see anyone enjoy the same upward momentum that Ward did through the divisions.

    Today, there are a few names that stand prominently as potential fast-movers, including that of lightweight sensation Vasyl Lomachenko, who faces Jose Pedraza as favourite in December 2018.

    Though he is just one of several men who could be fast movers in the coming years, it may be a whole generation until a man shows such drastic movement towards greater stardom after lesser beginnings.

    Back in 2017, ‘model’ boxer Andre Ward called it a day at the age of thirty-three, having retired as the world pound-for-pound number one.

    He held three belts at the time, creating the potential for chaos as a perfect flush of undisputed champions across the divisions remains elusive.

    Ward also bowed out with a 32-0 record, and while he retired undefeated, it is a record that becomes ever more eclipsed by the men who went into 2018/19 holding the heavyweight titles he once could have targeted.

    Boxing 2018

    Instead of being compared to the likes of Sugar Ray Leonard and Oscar De La Hoya, Ward will be seen by some as a ‘nearly man’ for as long as the Earth revolves around the sun.

    In the decade prior to 2017, Floyd Mayweather was unquestionably the major draw for PPV events, and an accomplished headliner.

    Though Mayweather was perhaps aided by his status as a heavyweight, Ward’s marketability – particularly in light of his Ring Magazine ‘Comeback of the Year’ in 2016 – was nowhere near sufficiently capitalised upon.

    It could well transpire that the residual hype from his knockout win over Sergey Kovalev will sustain his legacy. Defeating a man who dominated the super middleweight division in his day was a fitting end to Ward’s career.

    However, the fact that Ward saw the heavyweight division as a step too far indicates that he valued self-preservation over increased recognition.

    Though opinions are divided, Ward’s more ardent acolytes will assert that his refusal to make a stab at the top division – or at least take on Adonis Stevenson – made him miss out on a G.O.A.T status that was within grasping distance.

     

    Saul 'Canelo' Alvarez: Definition Of Overhyped?

    From a popularity perspective, Mexican pugilist Alvarez was always doomed to be at a relative disadvantage fighting stateside.

    Despite being akin to a national hero on the right side of thirty, with a 50-1-2 record including thirty-four knockouts, some believe that Alvarez has left it relatively late to have the ‘moment’ that truly defines him as a great.

    While his defeat of Gennady Golovkin in September 2018 gave him two belts, the fact that he was held to a majority decision keeps his sceptics rich in opinionated ammunition.

    Indeed, it was the second successive decision he had been held to by Golovkin, and the first was considered by some experts to be a split decision in favour of Golovkin, rather than a draw.

    Going further back, his litany of underachievement includes being held to decision win by the inferior Julio Cesar Chavez Jr, an all-too-easy loss to Floyd Mayweather, and a laboured knockout win over Amir Khan.

    There is still some degree of hope that his WBA (Regular) super middleweight fight against Rocky Fielding will be seen as a flashpoint moment in his career many years from now, even if the odds against Fielding in the boxing betting are astoundingly long.

     

    Speaking Of Chavez...

    Having a father with a legendary legacy in the squared circle is never easy, and comparisons between sire and son are always inevitable.

    While his record is 50-3-1, issues with weight and lifestyle have scuppered all chances that Chavez Jr has of ever being seen as half the boxer his father was.

    He is as much a victim of circumstance as his own worst enemy, with the family connections to the sport resulting in him being trained by uncles that were said to have prioritised his desire to impress over his hunger to fight.

    Switching to Freddie Roach in 2010 was a step in the right direction, and within a year, Chavez had scalped his first major title, winning the WBC middleweight belt via majority decision from Sebastian Zbik.

    There is also a general feeling that his work ethic also looks comparatively contemptible.

    In the opinion of some who also share this view, his very name has also swayed judges in some of his less clear-cut decision wins, with his victories over the aforementioned Sebastian Zbik, and his first of two over Brian Vera, being cases in point.

    As much as weight and self-discipline has been an issue away from the ring, so too has size been inside it – or, more specifically, the lack thereof in several of Chavez’ notable opponents.

    He was shown up as a man incapable of going anywhere in the divisions after his chastening loss to Andrzej Fonfara.

     

    No Room For Tyson?

    In strict terms of tangible achievement, men that have previously held three heavyweight titles do not belong in any list of ‘overrated’ or ‘underachieving’ boxers.

    However, many believe that Tyson Fury’s win over Wladimir Klitschko was little more than a ‘passing of the torch’, as a much younger man claims an expected win over an elderly – and very lethargic – opponent.

    Whatever people make of Fury’s victory on that night, there can be no denying that the fight itself will go down as a relatively mediocre spectacle, which never came close to justifying the hype and its PPV figures.

    His enigmatic personality has also prevented him from focusing as much on his hunger to fight as he needs to.

    Tyson Fury

    With a long reach and domineering presence against all opponents, it may take something as trivial as a recruitment drive to give Fury any fighting chance of taking Wilder’s place as the reigning WBC heavyweight title holder.

    Yet, his weak chin is a haven for classic ‘in-fighters’, and finding the right person to change his mentality takes much more ingenuity that simply hiring the best trainer that money can buy.

    Only an unthinkable brace of knockout wins, over Deontay Wilder and Anthony Joshua, could ever hope to change that.

    With Wilder being odds-on to beat Fury any time and any place, he and Joshua appear unstoppable in the short-term, and this leaves Fury on the threshold of the A-list, but with no apparent means of getting into the rarified air... yet.

     

    *Odds subject to change - correct at time of writing*

    December 23, 2018

    By 888sport

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    The 888sport blog is here to offer betting and tipping advice on the biggest sports fixtures, events and competitions around the world.

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    Wigan Athletic vs BIRMINGHAM CITY: Best Bets

    Wigan – 27/20

    Draw – 21/10

    Blues – 11/5

    Birmingham showed great resilience and spirit to salvage a draw from two-nil down against Blackburn Rovers last weekend.

    With 77 minutes on the clock, Garry Monk’s side looked down and out but two goals in three minutes was enough to nick a point.

    Another away fixture beckons this weekend, with the Blues at 11/5 to claim three points at the DW Stadium.

    Birmingham are currently 10th in the Championship table having acquired 31 points so far this season – six more than Wigan.

    After two matches without a win, Birmingham will be hungry to notch a huge victory this weekend.

    Monk’s side will take some stopping against a Wigan side that have won just one of their last nine Championship outings.

    With that in mind, 2/1 for Birmingham to score two or more goals looks a huge price.

    This tip has landed in seven of their last nine league games and 888sport customers should take those odds before kick-off.

    The Latics have scored 23 goals in 22 Championship matches and Birmingham will be eyeing up a clean sheet here.

    13/5 could turn out to be a huge price if the Blues defence remains organised from start to finish.

    Birmingham’s strength lies in attack though and Che Adams could be the one to watch this weekend.

    With seven goals in his last 10 games, Adams is a solid bet at 5/2 to get his name on the scoresheet at the DW Stadium.

    At longer odds, 19/5 for Birmingham to score in both halves is worth a speculative punt.

    The Blues will want to head into Christmas on a high and we could see plenty of goals in this encounter.

    That 2/1 for over 1.5 away goals is the best bet ahead of this contest.

    The Wigan floodgates could open if Birmingham grab an early opener and the travelling fans could have another happy journey home with a bit of luck.

    Prediction: Wigan 1-2 Birmingham (10/1)

    Bet of the day: Over 1.5 Blues goals (2/1)

    Outside punt: Birmingham to score in both halves (19/5)

    Enhanced Wincast: Lukas Jutkiewicz to score and Blues win (6/1)

     

    *Odds subject to change - correct at time of writing*

    December 21, 2018

    By Alex McMahon

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    Alex is a sports betting tipster, specialising in Premier League football, the Champions League and horse racing.

    He loves placing a weekly accumulator on the football at the weekend and dreams of landing the big winner that will take him back to Las Vegas.

    As well as writing sports betting tips for 888sport since 2015, Alex has produced content for several international media companies, such as Goal.com and The SPORTBible. 
     

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    The Long Walk Hurdle was first run in 1965 and it was initially a handicap race. It became a conditions race in 1971, and it was given Grade One status in 1990.

    Prior to the redevelopment of Ascot Racecourse (2004-2006) the race was run over 3 miles and 1½ furlongs.

    Four winners of the Long Walk Hurdle have gone on to win the Stayers’ Hurdle in the same season.

    Derring Rose (1980–81), Baracouda (2001–02), My Way de Solzen (2005–06) and Big Buck’s (2009–10, 2010-11 and 2011-12).

    • Previous Course Form – 6/12 winners had at least one previous run at Ascot, 3/12 winners had at least one previous win at Ascot.
    • Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least three previous runs over 24-26 furlongs, 9/12 had at least one previous win over 24-26 furlongs.
    • Previous Hurdle Form – 9/12 winners had at least 10 runs over hurdles, 12/12 winners had at least three wins over hurdles, 9/12 winners had at least four wins over hurdles.
    • Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 and 8-y-o.
    • Price – 7 of the last 12 favourites have won, 9/12 winners were in the top three in the betting.
    • Last Run – 6 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Long Walk Hurdle, 11/12 winners ran within the last 38 days.
    • Rating – 9/12 winners were rated 151 or higher.
    • Grade 1 Wins – 8/12 winners had at least one previous win in a Grade 1 race.
    • Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least one run that season, 8/12 winners had at least one win that season.

     

    The Contenders

    Agrapart (N. Williams)

    His best form has come on soft to heavy going and he should have ground conditions to suit here. All of his hurdling wins have come when going left-handed which is a slight worry.

    A former Cleeve Hurdle winner back in the day and will be on the premises if this becomes any kind of a stamina test.

     

    Call Me Lord (N. Henderson)

    Yet to run this season but is well regarded by the stable and they are expecting big things on Saturday.

    Second in last season’s Imperial Cup and finished the year on a mark of 152 after beating the likes of Lil Rockerfeller by 16 lengths along the way.

     

    Garo De Juilley (Mrs S. Leech)

    Winner of Chepstow’s Silver Trophy at the start of the season and has been running pretty solidly in decent company since.

    Would probably be half the price he if he was trained by a so called “big name”.

     

    Paisley Park (E. Lavelle)

    Has shown great form thus far this season, winning a handicap at Aintree in October and then following that run up with a win in the Betfair Stayers' Handicap Hurdle at Haydock last time.

    It will be completely new conditions for the six-year-old but he looks well equipped to progress even further.

     

    Sam Spinner (J. O'Keeffe)

    The reigning Long Walk champion but he does not come into this race in as good form as he was last year, after unseating his rider on his seasonal bow in the Long Distance Hurdle.

    Probably needs to be ridden aggressively to have any kind of realistic chance here, a proven tactic for him which was strangely lacking last time out.

     

    Soul Emotion (N. Henderson)

    A French import who won a couple of two and a half mile handicaps at Sandown for Henderson last term and could have more to offer.

    This is a completely new ball game but the five-year-old is certainly progressive.

     

    The Mighty Don (N. Gifford)

    The Mighty Don is a thorough stayer which should prove key in a race of this nature.

    The gelding got the better of Sykes at Cheltenham in October and always runs a solid race. His third place in the Long Distance Hurdle was excellent form but he may just need some others to underperform to score here.

     

    Top Notch (N. Henderson)

    Top Notch made his reappearance last term over hurdles but the signs are that he won’t take up his entry here.

    The likelihood is that he will run in the King George VI Chase instead.

     

    Unowhatimeanharry (H. Fry)

    He may be considered a veteran at this stage in his career but what a servant he has been to his connections.

    Winner of this race in 2016, he comes into this race having recently shown the young guns how it’s done in the Long Distance Hurdle.

    One for the shortlist and has to be respected here.

     

    West Approach (C. Tizzard)

    Returns to hurdling after a spell jumping over the bigger obstacles which doesn’t entirely inspire major confidence.

    The eight-year-old has never won in a field size bigger than six and he would be a surprise winner in this contest.

     

    Younevercall (K. Bailey)

    After sluicing up in a Pertemps qualifier at Kempton last month, Kim Bailey’s charge is making the step up to Graded company here.

    It will be a tall order on his first attempt in a race of this magnitude but as the old adage says “nothing ventured, nothing gained.”

     

    CONCLUSION

    After a few blips last weekend, Barry Geraghty has been bringing the green and gold colours of J.P McManus home on more than one occasion this week and Unowhatimeanharry can continue that trend on Saturday.

    Lizzie Kelly gets on well with Agrapart and has a good chance of chasing the selection home.

    888sport suggests: Unowhatimeanharry (win)

     

    *Odds subject to change - correct at time of writing*

    December 21, 2018

    By Steve Mullington

    Steve Mullington
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    Steven is a sports and horse racing enthusiast and is a member of the Horseracing Writers and Photographers Association (HWPA) in the United Kingdom.

    He is a regular visitor to Paris Longchamp for the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe and a lifelong fan of the Aintree Grand National, a subject he writes about 52 weeks of the year. Last year he reached the impressive milestone of attending the last 30 renewals of the Grand National.

    Steven graduated from the University Of Lancaster in 1996 with a B.A (Hons) in Urban Policy & Race Relations (major) with Contemporary Religions & Belief Systems (minor) and still wonders if any of these help him find the winners?

    He writes for a number of websites and online publications and you can sometimes hear him at the weekend discussing racing on a number of local radio stations. 

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    Some bettors choose to bet with their gut, others opt for the route of doing statistical research, but some choose to use betting systems to come out on top.

    Many of these strategies were initially deployed on casino games as bankroll management against set odds, but now many people have applied them to sports betting across a whole range of events and competitions.

    The primary focus across the majority of these betting strategies and betting systems is to cover losses or to gain an edge over the bookmakers, but, do they actually work?

    Chaos Betting

    We’ll start with the simplest betting strategy, for lack of a better word, which conforms to the ideas of chaos and can yield monstrous rewards.

    Chaos betting has been applied to casino games with multiple, high-odds betting options, such as roulette, in which the user will simply take an allocated number of bets and randomly dot them around the betting board.

    This strategy doesn’t improve the user’s edge, but it does replicate the chaos and random nature of the game.

    This has become a popular strategy for football fans who bet on their nation’s long list at the weekend, with many of the games kicking off at the same time.

    Using the football betting long list, bettors can dot down a predetermined number of selections across home wins, draws, and away wins, and wait for the results to unfold.

    However, as football isn’t as chaotic as the game of roulette, it’s good to limit the number of random selections made due to the knowledge that top teams will most likely defeat much lower teams.

    But equally, there’s still a chance that the most dominant teams will crumble to the hands of a weaker side.

    Chaos betting is very hit and miss, without any form of bankroll backing to cover losses. When it comes off, it can pay out big time as it will most likely form an accumulator with some long odds picks.

    So, while it can work in terms of winning decent returns, the lack of forethought or system makes it as chaotic as it’s billed.

     

    The Fibonacci

    Fibonacci betting systems have been applied to all forms of gambling by using the Fibonacci number sequence as the guide for how much one should stake.

    The Fibonacci sequence takes the form of 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34. The strategy is that you start with your first bet valued as the number 1 in the sequence. If you lose, you stake the same value to the number of times that the sequence dictates.

    So, if your starting bet is £3, if it loses, you bet £3 again as the sequence goes 1, 1. But, if that second bet loses, you step up to £6 as the number in the sequence double to 2.

    If the losing streak continues, step up to £6, £15, £24, and then £39. When a win eventually comes in, it covers your losses, assuming that the odds of the win are greater than 8/5.

    Be it ice hockey betting, football betting, or any other game that can end tied at the end of regular time, the area which bettors seek to exploit is the odds for draws as these are deemed to be the hardest odds to establish for bookmakers.

    Also, the odds on a tie at full time tend to be in the region of 8/5 or higher, allowing for the use of the Fibonacci betting system.

    The issue with the Fibonacci method is that the cost of the stake continues to rise, resulting in large losses if a particularly unlucky streak of five or more comes in.

    So, for it to guarantee a return that covers the losses of previous stakes, a near-unlimited bankroll may be required.

     

    The Martingale

    The Martingale method is one of the most popular betting strategies because it is very simple and doesn’t require the use or application of a specific system or sequence.

    Here, bettors simply double their bet after a loss. The method aims to cover a loss via a bigger win. By doubling the bet each time on odds that are above evens, eventually, the compiled stake will be returned with some profit as well.

    In sports betting, this is sometimes applied to long odds singles, such as a match finishing regular time in a draw with basketball betting.

    But others opt to compile favoured teams into an accumulator, play the accumulated odds at just over evens, and then deploy the Martingale method.

    It’s a sound method in theory, and should eventually pay off, but once again, it relies on a potentially endless bankroll.

    As it is a quickly escalating system regarding the amount staked, just a few losses could quickly have the average bettor out of pocket, unable to continue and win back your losses that were dedicated to the method.

     

    The Paroli

    The Paroli betting strategy is less about covering your losses and more about capitalising on your hot streak. Every regular bettor has had a few weeks where it seems like every selection that they make turns to gold.

    The Paroli is all about going big when winning, which will, in turn, help to cover any other losses incurred while betting in the past or trying to get this strategy rolling.

    It’s very simple to do the Paroli: all that you need to do is bet the same amount until you win, and then double that single stake on your next bet. If that wins, you double the stake again. Most people end their Paroli at a three-bet win streak.

    As the strategy is based on chaining wins, it doesn’t have to be used as frequently as other methods, allowing users to wait for markets that they like.

    For example, someone who knows their stuff when it comes to horse racing betting can back a horse on one day and then wait for one of their other favourites to race sometime during that month or even further down the line.

    The Paroli is a far more positive approach to betting, but a series of losses followed by a single win, that’s then followed by a double stake bet, will most likely result in the user being out of pocket.

    It may be best to just move into a Paroli strategy once a win has landed to then capitalise on a potential hot streak.

     

    Do Systems And Strategies ACTUALLY Work?

    Unfortunately, there’s no definitive answer as it all depends on the results in the sports at hand. As results don’t always go the way that they’re predicted to, unexpected losses and wins can occur.

    Having a method that recuperates losses will be beneficial to many bettors, but due to the chance of a series of bets going the wrong way, it can take an almost unlimited bankroll for the methods, strategies, and systems to work.

    December 19, 2018

    By 888sport

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    The 888sport blog is here to offer betting and tipping advice on the biggest sports fixtures, events and competitions around the world.

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    As the world turns its back on a World Cup tournament that more than lived up to its initial hype, the year of 2019 will be crucial in gauging the chances of many teams ahead of the Qatar-hosted 2022 World Cup.

    After the staging of the AFC Asian Cup in January, the summer months will bear the bulk of this process, with the African Cup of Nations (AFCON), the CONCACAF Gold Cup and South America’s Copa América running concurrently throughout the midsummer of 2019.

    Format Differences

    Both the Asian Cup and AFCON have an identical format, with six groups of four teams. Two teams progress from those groups, with the four best third-placed teams making up the round of 16.

    Containing twelve teams, the Copa América follows the same format but with one less group, making it eight teams (winners, runners-up and two third-placed teams) at the knockout stage.

    Last – and by far the simplest – is the format of the CONCACAF Gold Cup, which is a scaled-down World Cup. Sixteen teams are split into two groups of four, with two survivors from each going into the knockout stage.

     

    Is Success In These Tournaments Pivotal?

    Not especially, but there are two notable examples of victory in a regional tournament, which have spurred teams on to improved fortunes at a subsequent World Cup.

    Over in North America, there was a bit of a power shift in 2002, when the United States won the Gold Cup. That spurred them on to beat old rivals Mexico at the World Cup in Korea/Japan, after years of being overshadowed by 'El Tri'.

    After winning the Gold Cup in 2009, the US also went on to top their World Cup group in South Africa.

    One other notable case study can be found in the AFCON tournament of 1994, which was won by a Nigeria side that went on to become the surprise package of the 1994 World Cup.

     

    Notable Asian Cup Winners: Where Are They Now?

    As the trailblazer of regional international tournaments in 2019, the Asian Cup will act as the first indication of where every non-European team truly stands after the World Cup.

    But in previous years, how much has it impacted on the long-term fate of its most famous winners?

    South Korea (1546-60)

    With the new K-League season starting in March, South Korea’s World Cup debut in 1954 proved to be a chastening one.

    After shipping sixteen goals across games against Hungary and Turkey, the squad built on that experience to dominate the Asian Cup in the second half of the 1950s.

    Sadly, the South Korean team failed to truly capitalise on this, and wouldn’t be back at a World Cup until 1998.

    Iran (1968-76)

    Next, it was Iran’s turn to dominate Asia.

    Three successive triumphs in the Asian Cup culminated in the Iranians qualifying for their first ever World Cup in 1978 with a qualification record of ten wins and two draws from twelve games.

    Iran’s debut turned out to be a poor one, with a goal difference of -6 making it the nation’s worst World Cup performance of a bad quintet.

    Saudi Arabia (1984-88)

    Saudi Arabia’s Asian Cup win of 1984 is seen by many as the genesis of the nation’s emergence as a World Cup regular. Even conceding their Asian Cup to Japan in 1992 could not derail their efforts to make the 1994 World Cup the nation’s first.

    Saudi Arabia’s adventure to the round of 16, after a win in the final group game against 1990 quarter-finalists Belgium, proved to be the nation’s highlight of modern times. The ‘Green Eagles’ have never yet managed to better that performance.

    Japan (2000-04 & 2011)

    The Japanese are undoubtedly the poster boys for success after a maiden Asian Cup win.

    They initially stole the cup from Saudi Arabia in 1992, but would return it to them four years later. Despite their failure to retain the cup, the ‘Samurai Blue’ got a World Cup debut in 1998.

    It was a poor one, but when afforded home advantage between their second and third Asian Cup wins, there was no looking back.

    No Japan side has ever bowed out of a World Cup with ‘nul points’ since, and there seems to be no danger of the nation ever fading back into its former obscurity.

     

    Holders Australia There For The Taking In 2019

    Though the 2018 World Cup represented a continuation of the Socceroos’ disappointments in the past decade, there was plenty to suggest that Graham Arnold's men have more than enough to negotiate their Asian Cup group.

    The likes of Syria, Palestine and Jordan shouldn't offer too much resistance – albeit with one glaring omission from the usual squad.

    This will be the Australian team’s first major tournament without Tim Cahill in a '23' for nearly fifteen years.

    His industry in the final third has been a major asset to Australia for an entire generation, and with Cahill bowing out after 108 caps for Australia, the nation enters a new era of uncertainty.

    Seeds Of Success

    Four of the other top-seeded non-hosts will all have their own unique reasons for taking the spotlight ahead of 2019.

    Iran To Meet Rivals Again

    Iran are the highest FIFA-ranked side in the tournament, and although the Persian gulf giants once more failed to qualify for the knockout rounds of a World Cup in the summer, they put up a good fight against hot favourites Spain and Portugal.

    The Iranians are joined in Group E by Iraq, Vietnam and Yemen, with Iraq being the only team of that three to have won any major honours - namely, the Asian Cup of 2007.

    'Samurai Showdown' Looms

    As the only Asian nation to reach the knockout round of the 2018 World Cup, Japan will also be a popular pick in the outright market odds list.

    The nation’s historical tally of four Asian Cup titles is unmatched, further justifying these beliefs.

    However, Japan’s nearest threat is Uzbekistan, a team that reached the Asian Cup semi-finals in 2011, and only missed out on the 2018 World Cup by two qualification round points.

    It is, arguably, Uzbekistani football's biggest chance of making a seismic impact on their own continent for a generation.

    China And South Korea In Group Of Death

    Over in Group C, it looks for the world as though top spot will go to either South Korea or China.

    South Korea defeated then-champions Germany in the group stage of the 2018 World Cup, while China was the highest ranked team in pot 2 at the time of the 2019 Asian Cup draw.

    The investment in Chinese football is still at an early stage, but their odds will be under constant scrutiny over the next two months.

    China have never won the Asian Cup, and last reached the final in 2004 – but there is a first time for everything...

     

    888sport Asian Cup Prediction

    It's a very tough call, but on the evidence of the 2018 World Cup, Iran will wrestle the trophy from an Australian squad that will miss its talisman more than many realise. Iran can currently be backed at 4/1, making them the joint-likeliest victors alongside South Korea.

    December 19, 2018

    By 888sport

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