Marseille and Atletico Madrid are the two teams remaining in the Europa League. The standard of the competition has been at maybe its highest ever, and the fact we are left with two European giants in the final speaks volumes for the growth of the Europa League.

The reward of a Champions League place for winning the tournament certainly helps, but successes of teams like Sevilla and Porto in the competition have undoubtedly raised its profile. The final is being held in the brand new Lyon stadium this Wednesday.

While Marseille survived a scare with Salzburg in the semi-final, Atletico cruised past Arsenal to book their place in France. Okay, cruised is a bit generous. Atleti were on the ropes with 10 men for most of the first leg. When they got that vital away goal, though, it seemed inevitable that Diego Simeone’s side would make it to the final.

After the disappointment of being knocked out of the Champions League, Atletico have – unlike a lot of teams who are forced to drop down to the Europa League – looked something like their best version of themselves.

Atletico at their best are one of the top defences in the world. Simeone’s side have given up a shade over 16 non-penalty expected goals against in their last 20 La Liga outings. I really like the 21/20 on under 0.5 goals by the ‘home team’.

Atleti are expected to name Antoine Griezmann and Diego Costa in the starting line-up. Vitolo is their main injury worry, but he could be fit enough to start.

Marseille’s defence is obviously not as resilient as Atletico’s, and I doubt they will keep Griezmann and Costa quiet for ninety minutes. Costa to score the opening goal at 19/5 is very appealing after his dominant display against Arsenal.

Marseille’s attack should be feared too, however. Dimitri Payet, Lucas Ocampos and Florian Thauvin form a fearsome attacking midfield triumvirate. Payet and Thauvin have been producing at an elite rate this season.

Only Neymar has a better expected assists per 90 in Ligue 1 than the duo, and Payet ranks higher than Messi in the same category. Thauvin has contributed 22 league goals, too.

If Marseille are to have any chance, they need big performances from Thauvin and Payet. Thauvin to score anytime at 19/5 looks decent value.

Away from their attacking prowess, the trends are not good for Marseille. Form has been poor, including a 3-3 draw with Guingamp in their last outing, leaving them off the pace for Champions League qualification. They have won just once in four matches and have struggled on the road all season.

Despite that, the 3/5 price on Marseille to have more possession is a good one. Atletico average under 50% in the Europa League this season, and will likely sit deep from the off, looking to create chances with long balls to Costa in transition.

Marseille will want to counter-attack themselves but may have little choice other than to have a tonne of possession.

Ill-discipline or sheer misfortune are most likely to stop Atletico. Marseille will need a majestic attacking performance to stand a chance, but even then, I doubt their defence can hold up.

It won’t be a walkover, because that’s not how Atleti work, but it should be a win for the Spanish club.

TIP: Atletico Madrid to win 2-1 @ 8/1

 

*Odds subject to change - correct at time of writing*

May 14, 2018
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Sam is a sports tipster, specialising in the Premier League and Champions League.

He covers most sports, including cricket and Formula One. Sam particularly enjoys those on the other side of the Atlantic Ocean – notably MLB and NBA.

Watching, writing and talking about sports betting takes up most of his time, whether that is for a day out at T20 Finals Day or a long night of basketball.

Having been writing for several years, Sam has been working with 888Sport since 2016, contributing multiple articles per week to the blog.

Sam Cox
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York Racecourse gets its season underway with the three day Dante Festival taking place this week starting on Wednesday through to Friday.

Prize money over the three days of the Dante Festival has risen for the seventh year in succession, increasing by £50,000 again this year to £1.4m. With a feature race taking place on each day of the Festival, the York season begins with a feast of top quality racing on the Knavesmire.

Wednesday’s £100,000 Tattersalls Musidora is just one of the races this week that offers a six figure sum to connections.

A feature race for three year old fillies, the Musidora has proved to be a greater pointer to the Investec Oaks, with six fillies going on to achieve Classic glory.  Typically, fillies from the Musidora return as older horses to contest the Group Two Middleton Stakes on Thursday.

Wednesday also sees the sprinters going to post in the Group Two Duke of York Clipper Logistics Stakes, run over six furlongs. This year’s renewal will see a whole host of top class speedsters battling it out down The Knavesmire.

The Dante, the race so named to honour the last Yorkshire trained winner of the Derby back in 1945, is held on Thursday.  This Group Two contest now offers a prize fund of £165,000. The Dante winner has gone on to win the Investec Derby ten times, with Golden Horn the last to achieve that impressive feat three seasons ago.

The British Stallion Studs EBF Westow Stakes for three-year-old sprinters is one of three Listed contests during the Festival to see its prize money rise to £50,000. This race also takes place on Thursday.

Friday’s feature race is The Yorkshire Cup, with £165,000 on offer to the leading stayers over one mile and three-quarters, making it a valuable Group Two “Cup” race.  Friday’s renewal is part of the Qipco British Champions Series, the first of five York races that make up a special series of top races in Britain.

Let’s look at each day of the Dante Festival in some depth:

 

Wednesday

John Gosden hopes Highgarden can use the Tattersalls Musidora Stakes at York as a stepping stone towards a potential outing at Royal Ascot.

Highgarden steps up in class for the Group Three prize after finishing third in a novice contest on her return at Sandown last month and will be bidding to give Gosden his seventh Musidora.

Gosden said: "Highgarden goes to the Musidora. I think she strikes me as a Musidora and Ribblesdale type, but we will see after the Musidora.

"That was a very nice race at Sandown. She got a little caught for toe, but then stayed on and was suddenly running on again at the end. She is a Nathaniel and wants a mile and a half now."

Aidan O’Brien has five of the 14 entries in the Musidora Stakes as he seeks to win the Group Three heat for the first time.

The Ballydoyle handler will choose from Ballet Shoes, I Can Fly, Magical, Sarrocchi and Sizzling.

The Duke Of York Clipper Logistics Stakes will seen the seasonal return of Clive Cox’s consistent Harry Angel. Cox is hoping it will be an ideal prep race for Royal Ascot.

“Obviously he’s got a penalty here and then we’re looking at a similar path (for the season) to last year, once we get to Royal Ascot – it will be the Diamond Jubilee and the rest,” said the Lambourn trainer.

“It will be nice to get a run under his belt. The team are in good form, but I’m sure he’ll improve for the run as well, so I’m very pleased he’s in good order and starting his season this week.

“It’s an important stepping stone to Ascot.”

The last two winners of this race, Tasleet and Magical Memory, should be there contesting the race again while Aidan O'Brien is responsible for no less than seven in the list - Intelligence Cross, Spirit Of Valor, Washington DC, Declarationofpeace, Fleet Review, Murillo and Sioux Nation.

Henry Candy’s Limato and the in-form Kevin Ryan-trained Brando figure among the Duke of York possibles, as does James Fanshawe’s The Tin Man.

 

Thursday

Crossed Baton has already won an Investec Derby trial, and now he is set for another, with connections confirming this he will appear in this week’s Dante Stakes on Thursday.

The Prince Khalid Abdullah owned colt made it three wins in four career starts when successful at Epsom last month.

He showed his talent by making all to win the listed race by a head from My Lord And Master with Dee Ex Bee a further length and a quarter behind. The form already has a solid look to it with the second and third both finishing second in subsequent races at the Chester May Festival last week.

Local trainer Tim Easterby runs Well Farhh Go and he would be a popular Yorkshire winner.

The three-year-old was unbeaten in two starts on the Knavesmire last season and will be aiming to make it an impressive hat-trick this week.

Aidan O’Brien has four remaining contenders in Full Moon, James Cook, Kew Gardens and Zabriskie all in the hunt.

Mark Johnston’s Mildenberger will have his Derby credentials out to the test in the Dante Stakes.

Although he is not entered for the Derby at this stage the Middleham-based trainer won last year’s Dante with the ill-fated Permian before supplementing him for the premier Classic, a route connections may well consider again.

Mildenberger made a successful start to his three-year-old campaign in the Feilden Stakes at Newmarket in mid-April.

 

Friday

Jessica Harrington’s Sagaro Stakes winner Torcedor is among 16 confirmations for the Yorkshire Cup on Friday.

Jessica Harrington's six-year-old took the Ascot event, which is one of the first legs in the WH Stayers' Million, and he would need to take this race before going on to the final leg - the Gold Cup at Royal Ascot.

Another Irish trainer, Willie Mullins, has left in Max Dynamite and Wicklow Brave, who both ran over hurdles at last month's Punchestown Festival.

 

*Odds subject to change - correct at time of writing*

May 14, 2018

By Steve Mullington

Steve Mullington
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    Steven is a sports and horse racing enthusiast and is a member of the Horseracing Writers and Photographers Association (HWPA) in the United Kingdom.

    He is a regular visitor to Paris Longchamp for the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe and a lifelong fan of the Aintree Grand National, a subject he writes about 52 weeks of the year. Last year he reached the impressive milestone of attending the last 30 renewals of the Grand National.

    Steven graduated from the University Of Lancaster in 1996 with a B.A (Hons) in Urban Policy & Race Relations (major) with Contemporary Religions & Belief Systems (minor) and still wonders if any of these help him find the winners?

    He writes for a number of websites and online publications and you can sometimes hear him at the weekend discussing racing on a number of local radio stations. 

    Steve Mullington
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    The last weekend of the Premier League season is here. A campaign that started back in August has finally reached its ending, with a fair share of surprises along the way.

    Unfortunately, there isn’t much to play for on the last day of the season. Drama is possible still, though, particularly in the contest for the top four.

    Here are a few thoughts and tips on some of the more interesting clashes this Sunday

    LIVERPOOL vs Brighton & Hove Albion

    Liverpool, thanks to their superior goal difference, need just a draw in this one to wrap up a Champions League spot for next season. They could guarantee that with a victory over Real Madrid in the final, too, but they hardly need more pressure being heaped onto that match.

    Brighton have stayed up with relative ease. Amidst the admiration for teams escaping the drop, the efficiency of Chris Hughton’s side has been forgotten at times.

    It's certainly not out of their reach to snatch a win at Anfield, though their focus may not be quite the same as it was a few weeks ago.

    Liverpool will be at full strength for this one. I expect a return to Anfield normality, meaning a comfortable win and a few goals along the way.

    TIP: Over 2.5 home goals @ 4/5

     

    NEWCASTLE UNITED vs Chelsea

    Chelsea need to win to capitalise on a potential Liverpool defeat at Anfield. The Blues’ failure to beat Huddersfield in midweek minimised their chances of a top four finish, as Antonio Conte again became the enemy of the home fans.

    The decision to leave Eden Hazard on the bench was puzzling, and it will be interesting to see if the Italian opts to leave his star out again in the north east.

    via GIPHY

    Newcastle have done what so many mid-table teams do. Get safe early, then lose a string of matches to make the season look less impressive. They have earnt these relaxed performances but will likely be back to their best in front of their own fans to close the season.

    I like Newcastle’s price to avoid defeat here. Chelsea are heading into a period of transition again and could struggle to create if Newcastle can return to their form of a few weeks ago.

    TIP: Newcastle to win or draw @ 11/8

     

    Southampton vs MANCHESTER CITY

    Mark Hughes has done what he had to with Southampton. It’s no miracle work from Hughes, but Saints at least have some attacking emphasis now.

    They just have to avoid one of the all-time heaviest Premier League defeats to stay up. The club would have accepted that a few weeks ago.

    Weekend Booster

    Manchester City are perhaps the worst team in the world to face in such circumstances, though. While I doubt they’ll score eight, we certainly know they could do against a Southampton side who have leaked goals since Hughes took over.

    I fancy City to score a few goals to make us all wonder if they’ll actually do it.

    TIP: Over 2.5 away goals @ 29/20

     

    SWANSEA CITY vs Stoke City

    Swansea were understandably mortified at defeat to Southampton on Tuesday. Carlos Carvalhal’s club then saw Huddersfield secure safety with a point at Chelsea, to put them on the brink of the Championship.

    They’re not gone just yet, however, but require a ten-goal swing in goal difference with Southampton on the final day.

    Stoke have exaggerated their season of meltdown since their own relegation was confirmed. The Potters have been dire under Paul Lambert and would have been the ideal opponent had the hosts given themselves a decent chance.

    This match should have been a showdown. Unfortunately, the recruitment failings of both clubs meant they couldn’t even hold on that long. I think Swansea will do what they have to do, but this will be a Championship fixture next season.

    TIP: Swansea to win @ 10/11

     

    *Odds subject to change - correct at time of writing*

    May 12, 2018
    Body

    Sam is a sports tipster, specialising in the Premier League and Champions League.

    He covers most sports, including cricket and Formula One. Sam particularly enjoys those on the other side of the Atlantic Ocean – notably MLB and NBA.

    Watching, writing and talking about sports betting takes up most of his time, whether that is for a day out at T20 Finals Day or a long night of basketball.

    Having been writing for several years, Sam has been working with 888Sport since 2016, contributing multiple articles per week to the blog.

    Sam Cox