Ayr Betting Odds
Ayr
Ayr
Handicap | Hurdle | 2m
Castle Ivers
CASTLE IVERS goes handicapping from what looks a lenient opening mark and is in the right hands to overcome an absence. He's taken to make it 2-2 over hurdles, while it's unlikely we've seen the best of Triple Crown Ted, either, and he rates the main danger in an ultra-competitive renewal. Veteran Ginger Mail looks a plausible contender of those at bigger prices.
- Win or E/W
- Forecast
- Tricast
E/W Terms: 1/4 odds first 3
- 7Secret ForceJ: Keith DonoghueT: Gavin Patrick Cromwell, Ireland144Age 47/23/110/3
- OR: 124
- EQ: Cheekpieces and tongue strap
- Days Since Last Run: 76
Again below the form of his impressive hurdle debut success when fourth of 6 in a listed juvenile at Musselburgh in late-January, and while a big-field handicap ought to suit better, his opening mark leaves little margin for error.DateCourseDistGoingTypePosMusselburgh1m 7f 124yGood to Soft (Soft in places)Hurdle4/6Cheltenham2m 87yHeavy (Soft in places)Hurdle4/8Punchestown2m 46yGood to YieldingHurdle1/8Listowel1m 3f 15yHeavyFlat1/13Newmarket (july)1mGood to FirmFlat6/9- 1Castle IversJ: Sean BowenT: Olly Murphy1310/1-Age 79/29/25/1
- OR: 120
- EQ: -
- Days Since Last Run: 512
Cost £95,000 having won an Irish point easily and having run to a useful level when winning 2 of his 4 bumper starts, he quickened in good fashion to make a successful start over hurdles at Warwick in November 2024. Has proven himself capable when fresh and looks on a potentially lenient mark.DateCourseDistGoingTypePosWarwick2mGood to Soft (Soft in places)Hurdle1/16Aintree2m 209yGood to Soft (Soft in places)Bumper16/18Wetherby2mSoftBumper1/9Lingfield Park2mStandard / SlowBumper3/13Southwell1m 7f 182yGood to Soft (Soft in places)Bumper1/3- 11Lance Les DesJ: Sean QuinlanT: N. W. Alexander37-3321Age 76/16/111/2
- OR: 109
- EQ: -
- Days Since Last Run: 42
Bit flattered by his proximity to Triple Crown Ted when runner-up on handicap bow but remains progressive in his own right, getting off the mark under hands and heels in an Ayr maiden last time. That form has worked out well, and he needs considering back in a handicap.DateCourseDistGoingTypePosAyr2mSoftHurdle1/12Kelso2m 51yHeavyHurdle2/9Kelso2m 51yGood to Soft (Soft in places)Hurdle3/11Kelso2m 51ySoftHurdle3/7Kelso2m 51yGood to Soft (Good in places)Hurdle7/10- 9Triple Crown TedJ: Derek FoxT: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore2-31412Age 66/16/113/2
- OR: 114
- EQ: -
- Days Since Last Run: 41
Solid form in novices prior to winning more takingly than the bare margin would imply on handicap bow at Kelso. Still looked in top form when chasing home an unexposed stablemate over C&D last time and remains capable of better.DateCourseDistGoingTypePosAyr2mSoftHurdle2/7Kelso2m 51yHeavyHurdle1/9Ayr2mHeavy (Soft in places)Hurdle4/10Kelso2m 51ySoftHurdle1/7Kelso2m 51yGoodHurdle3/13- 3Bibe MusJ: Harry CobdenT: Paul Nicholls132210Age 48/18/19/1
- OR: 127
- EQ: -
- Days Since Last Run: 38
Solid record over hurdles for Ross O'Sullivan and having found improvement to make a winning start for Paul Nicholls at Sandown, shaped as if still in good form (before quick turnaround seemingly told) when mid-field in the Fred Winter subsequently.DateCourseDistGoingTypePosCheltenham2m 87yGood to SoftHurdle11/22Sandown Park1m 7f 216ySoft (Heavy in places)Hurdle1/6Punchestown2mHeavyHurdle2/7Aintree2m 209ySoftHurdle2/7Down Royal2m 190yYielding (Good to Yielding in places )Hurdle3/5- 2The Gray GhostJ: Callum PritchardT: Robbie Llewellyn6454414Age 79/19/110/1
- OR: 120
- EQ: Tongue strap
- Days Since Last Run: 34
Made it 2-2 at Newcastle to open his account for the season before underlining his consistency when fourth in a well-contested Kempton handicap last time. Should give his running again, though could be vulnerable to some less-exposed types in here.DateCourseDistGoingTypePosKempton Park2m 5fGood (Good to Soft in places)Hurdle4/13Newcastle2m 190yGood to SoftHurdle1/9Musselburgh2m 7f 180yGood to SoftHurdle4/13Ascot2m 5f 146ySoft (Good to Soft in places)Hurdle4/12Wincanton1m 7f 50yGood to Soft (Soft in places)Hurdle5/10- 8Newtown RamblerJ: Danny McMenaminT: Adrian Keatley6P33781Age 711/19/110/1
- OR: 116
- EQ: Cheekpieces and tongue strap
- Days Since Last Run: 40
Always holding when doubling his hurdle tally at Warwick last time and while this is much more competitive, he hasn't been long with capable new yard.DateCourseDistGoingTypePosWarwick2mGood to Soft (Good in places)Hurdle1/13Musselburgh2m 3f 171yGood to SoftHurdle8/12Listowel2m 3f 100yGood to YieldingChase7/16Wexford2m 3f 100yGood (Good to Yielding in places)Chase3/11Wexford2m 3f 130yGood (Good to Yielding in places)Chase3/11- 5Magna VictorJ: Ciaran GethingsT: Alastair Ralph/53-411Age 712/110/111/1
- OR: 117
- EQ: -
- Days Since Last Run: 76
Low-mileage 7-y-o was improved again when making it 2-2 in handicaps at Musselburgh in late-January and while he bids for the hat-trick in a much deeper race, further progress cannot be ruled out.DateCourseDistGoingTypePosMusselburgh1m 7f 124yGood to SoftHurdle1/9Musselburgh1m 7f 124yGood to Soft (Soft in places)Hurdle1/11Ayr2mSoft (Heavy in places)Hurdle4/14Chepstow2m 11yHeavyHurdle3/10Perth2m 47yGood to SoftBumper5/8- 4Caballo De GuerraJ: Jack PowerT: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore7-14445Age 516/114/118/1
- OR: 118
- EQ: Hood
- Days Since Last Run: 48
No surprise to see hood refitted having not been seen to best effect when distant fifth of 10 in Grade 2 novice at Kelso last time, but the handicapper has at least offered some respite from a stiff-looking opening mark.DateCourseDistGoingTypePosKelso2m 2f 25yGood to SoftHurdle5/10Haydock Park1m 7f 144yGood to SoftHurdle4/8Wetherby2mSoftHurdle4/14Cheltenham2m 87yGood (Good to Soft in places)Hurdle4/5Kelso2m 51yGoodHurdle1/13- 14TuppenceJ: Mr Lucas MurphyT: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore/408-24Age 622/118/120/1
- OR: 98
- EQ: Hood
- Days Since Last Run: 28
Lightly-raced maiden has shaped more promisingly than her form figures might suggest, probably doing too much too soon over a longer trip at Musselburgh last time, though Triple Crown Ted is seemingly the yard's leading hope.DateCourseDistGoingTypePosMusselburgh2m 3f 171yGood to SoftHurdle4/7Musselburgh2m 3f 171yGood to Soft (Soft in places)Hurdle2/6Newcastle2m 190yGood to Soft (Soft in places)Hurdle8/9Kelso2m 51yGood to Soft (Good in places)Hurdle11/14Kelso2m 51ySoft (Good to Soft in places)Hurdle4/12- 12Ravenscraig CastleJ: William MaggsT: Iain Jardine9145354Age 825/125/122/1
- OR: 108
- EQ: Cheekpieces
- Days Since Last Run: 28
Fifth in this race 12 months ago and ran as well as could be expected when fourth of 14 in a Go North Series Final handicap at Musselburgh last time. Isn't the easiest to win with, though, and this looks every bit as competitive.DateCourseDistGoingTypePosMusselburgh2m 1f 87yGood to SoftHurdle4/14Newcastle7f 14yStandardFlat8/11Musselburgh1m 7f 124yGood to SoftHurdle5/9Musselburgh1m 7f 124yGood to Soft (Good in places)Hurdle3/9Musselburgh1m 7f 124yGood to SoftHurdle5/9- 10Ginger MailJ: Bruce LynnT: N. W. Alexander-643P30Age 1025/125/122/1
- OR: 110
- EQ: Cheekpieces
- Days Since Last Run: 28
Veteran finished 1¼ lengths behind Triple Crown Ted at Ayr but finished well beaten with visor refitted in a competitive handicap at Musselburgh last time. Usual cheekpieces go back on and could outrun his odds from a tumbling mark.DateCourseDistGoingTypePosMusselburgh2m 1f 87yGood to SoftHurdle11/14Ayr2mSoftHurdle3/7Kelso2m 51yHeavyHurdlepu/9Doncaster2m 3f 88ySoftHurdle3/4Newcastle2m 4f 62yGood to Soft (Soft in places)Hurdle4/6- 6Bertie's BalletJ: Ryan ManiaT: Dianne Sayer312-740Age 828/128/125/1
- OR: 117
- EQ: -
- Days Since Last Run: 48
Held his form well last season but was no match for less-exposed pair Triple Crown Ted/Lance Les Des at Kelso before flying too high in the Morebattle there last time.DateCourseDistGoingTypePosKelso2m 51yGood to SoftHurdle12/17Kelso2m 51yHeavyHurdle4/9Haydock Park1m 7f 144yGood to SoftHurdle7/8Wetherby2m 3f 154ySoftHurdle2/11Haydock Park1m 7f 144ySoftHurdle1/8- 15Belaya RiverJ: Paul O'BrienT: Harry Derham54125Age 433/125/128/1
- OR: 105
- EQ: -
- Days Since Last Run: 16
Fair Catterick maiden hurdle winner wasn't anywhere near his best on handicap debut at Sedgefield last time (easy to back and made mistakes) and he could be worth another chance in receipt of a handy 4-y-o allowance.DateCourseDistGoingTypePosSedgefield2m 178yGood (Good to Soft in places)Hurdle5/7Kelso2m 51yGood to SoftHurdle2/7Catterick Bridge1m 7f 156ySoft (Heavy in places)Hurdle1/9Musselburgh1m 7f 124yGood to Soft (Good in places)Hurdle4/10Newbury2m 69yGood to Soft (Soft In Places)Hurdle5/10- 13Dance ThiefJ: Richie McLernonT: R. Mike Smith33-5P19Age 840/128/133/1
- OR: 105
- EQ: -
- Days Since Last Run: 26
Third in this race in 2024 and was back on his last successful mark when landing a third course win in a 5-runner handicap chase last month. Not in the same form at Carlisle subsequently, however, and this looks a deep renewal.DateCourseDistGoingTypePosCarlisle1m 7f 207yGood to Soft (Good in places)Chase9/12Ayr2m 110ySoftChase1/5Ayr2m 4f 110ySoft (Heavy in places)Chasepu/7Ayr2mSoftHurdle5/11Ayr2m 110yGood to SoftChase3/4