Another game week and another set of results and performances that left fantasy managers' scratching their heads.
European football was a factor forcing sides to rotate, and this might be a good opportunity to jump off some underperforming premium assets and jump on those surprise early-season flyers.
FPL GW6 Transfer Tips:
It may be early into the new campaign, but the Seagulls have seemingly pushed on this season: from just avoiding relegation to looking like they're capable of a top-half finish.
Graham Potter's work on the training pitches appears to be paying dividends, and their start is in stark contrast to the fortunes of last season. This incarnation of Brighton can see out games and over-perform the data.
Once again, the underlying numbers at the back has been exemplary, with the side having Top 6 data for most of their defensive metrics.
But what stands out most is an overperformance of xG, something which they failed to do for the most part in 2020-21.
Brighton still have some big players to come back into the side – Tariq Lamptey, Dan Burn and Pascal Gross – and the future looks bright on the south coast.
However, their attack has been less impressive, and I would advise caution for now. While they have exceeded their data and expected metrics, the forward line is not a dependable source of points.
Brighton have some great games to target, and at their price point, you can feel comfortable benching assets, particularly around game weeks 9 and 10 when they face Man City and Liverpool.
Forget Saturday's scoreline; the Eagles' three-nil loss did not reflect the game, and Palace are a team on the up.
Jurgen Klopp summarised the quality of their opponents by insisting: "It was the most hard-fought 3-0 I ever saw," and the team are showing real signs of improvement under Patrick Vieira.
In seasons gone by, Palace have always been difficult to break down, a thorn in the side, but now, they are beginning to trouble sides with a new attacking brand of football.
Despite already facing four of last season's top seven, Palace data is in the top half. And now that the fixtures are beginning to turn, their well-priced assets make them appealing with good underlying data.
Connor Gallagher, Wilfried Zaha and Odsonne Edouard must be considered during this period, with Manchester City (GW10) their main obstacle in an otherwise smooth run until the end of November.
For now, I would look to avoid their defensive assets and shift your focus higher up the pitch.
I am not one to plan transfers too far in advance as anything can happen, but Chelsea's form and fixtures cannot be overlooked.
The team have been so good that I'd recommend you try and get as many of the Blues in your team as possible. The biggest issue: which three to go for?
Romelu Lukaku tops the list as a guaranteed starter, while Antonio Rudiger and Cesar Azpilicueta are probably the safest bets at the back, although, on form, Ben Chilwell doesn't look like ousting Marcos Alonso anytime soon.
Mason Mount is another good shout, despite being dropped against Villa (GW4) and was brought off at the break on Sunday. However, his importance to the team cannot be understated.
Last season, Mount was the second most creative player in the league, only behind Bruno Fernandes, and he links up well with Lukaku. I also like the fact he is on set pieces. There are more risky options, but three of these five offers great cover.
Watch And Wait
Success in Fantasy Premier League is dictated by your ability to react to information quickly and with a clear head.
Last week I tipped Leeds to do well, and whilst I believe they could still have some good performances, an ever-growing injury list means investing heavily should be avoided in the short term.
Patrick Bamford, Raphinha and Jack Harrison are all flagged as doubts. Still, for those who insist on keeping the faith, Marcelo Bielsa will not be changing his footballing philosophies anytime soon.
There seems to be a turnaround in defensive solidity this term, having already picked up two draws against the titans of Manchester.
Ralph Hasenhüttl appears to have used the off-season well, and his side are becoming hard to break down and continue to frustrate sides. The Saints no longer seem the pushover they were at the end of last season.
Valentino Livramento is a fantastic £4.1m asset who seems to be making the right-back spot his own, and over the coming game weeks, I'll be keeping a close eye to see if they're any more bargains to be had.
Data-wise, their attack is that of a mid-table side, just failing to match their xG, whereas, in defence, they are in the bottom half, although you need to consider the level of opposition, with back-to-back clean sheets against Top 6 teams.
Southampton now have the second-best run of fixtures over the next seven, with a strong possibility of picking up points. They could become an exciting outfit if the Saints can start scoring whilst retaining their defensive fortitude.
The Foxes are currently producing relegation level data, both defensively and offensively. They have the second-most shots in the box conceded, and they rank bottom six for xG conceded.
While in attack, the numbers aren't much better: joint second from bottom for Big Chances created, third from bottom for shots in the box and 16th for xG.
There is something seriously wrong, and despite what appears to be a good set of fixtures, they only face two of the top six up to, and including game week 18, their assets cannot be trusted.
Questions should be asked as this run of bad results is a continuation of their poor end of season form.
Wolves have failed to prove themselves as a viable option despite promising underlying data. Their attack seems to be made up of chance creators, with no one to slot the ball home.
Three of this season's highest underperformers on xG all come from Wolves, with the side scoring 7.19 goals less than expected.
Overall, the team are joint bottom for total goals scored. Like Leicester, this malaise has been around for a while - Wolves averaged less than a goal a game in 2020-21.
Even with Adama Traore, Fabio Silva, Hwang Hee-Chan, Trincao, Raul Jimenez and Daniel Podence all vying for a goal on Saturday, Wolves could not break down Brentford.
There needs to be a Plan B, but at the moment, that is not coming from Bruno Lage.
Going forward, and even with a good run of fixtures, it is looking increasingly hard to justify ownership of any of their players when those similarly priced are performing so much better.
Best FPL Tips For Gameweek 6:
FIRST PUBLISHED: 16th August 2021